{"window_days":7,"from":"2026-09-14","games_returned":9,"games_withheld_below_min_bets":8,"min_bets":100,"method":{"estimator":"mean payout multiplier, currency independent","interval":"95%, mean plus or minus 1.96 standard errors","source":"each casino's own public bet feed, captured by us","sampling":"the feeds are rolling windows the operators publish; this is a sample of their flow, not the whole of it, and the selection rule is not visible to us","declared_rtp":"only Stake.com publishes a house edge, so declared_rtp and gap are null for other operators","selection_bias":"the feeds are the operators' own marketing surfaces and the selection leans toward winning rounds, so observed_return is UNCORRECTED and biased upward by an unknown amount that differs per operator. feed_bias reports 'curated' where an observed return above 100% proves the feed is incomplete, since no game returns more than it takes over the long run."},"confidence_levels":{"high":">=10000 bets","moderate":">=1000","low":">=100","insufficient":"<100"},"publishable":["low","moderate","high"],"source_kinds":{"observed":"Counted directly from the operator's public feed.","derived":"Computed from observed data through a documented method.","reported":"Published by the operator. We repeat it, we do not verify it.","estimate":"Model output carrying assumptions. Always a range."},"games":[{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"5 Lions Megaways","provider":"pragmatic play","bets":4105,"observed_return":0.5696711327649211,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.1143962355927627,"ci95":[0.3454545110031062,0.793887754526736],"max_multiplier":361,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.2242166217618149,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.9339829476248478,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"5 Lions Megaways 2","provider":"pragmatic play","bets":3320,"observed_return":0.23037650602409634,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.0296097111917355,"ci95":[0.17234147208829476,0.28841153995989793],"max_multiplier":60.2,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.058035033935801575,"publishable":false,"withheld":"implausible","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.9506024096385542,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Roobet","game":"5 Lions Megaways","provider":"pragmatic play","bets":3193,"observed_return":0.8142765591843254,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.09588351803186344,"ci95":[0.626344863841873,1.0022082545267779],"max_multiplier":134.56,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.18793169534245235,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.8916379580331977,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Roobet","game":"5 Lions Megaways 2","provider":"pragmatic play","bets":1791,"observed_return":0.9156606053155979,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.15094372543005283,"ci95":[0.6198109034726944,1.2115103071585014],"max_multiplier":140.48,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.29584970184290355,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.9061976549413735,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"5 Lions Megaways","provider":"unknown","bets":203,"observed_return":0.6508866995073888,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.12543757804552655,"ci95":[0.40502904653815675,0.8967443524766208],"max_multiplier":15.92,"confidence":"low","margin":0.24585765296923204,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.8423645320197044,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"BC.Game","game":"5 Lions Megaways","provider":"pragmatic play","bets":160,"observed_return":0.7765186866365131,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.26079211783874867,"ci95":[0.26536613567256573,1.2876712376004606],"max_multiplier":36.400000427256046,"confidence":"low","margin":0.5111525509639474,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.88125,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Winna","game":"5 Lions Megaways","provider":"pragmatic play","bets":159,"observed_return":2.3600056603773587,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.5079994880264364,"ci95":[1.3643266638455436,3.355684656909174],"max_multiplier":44.96,"confidence":"low","margin":0.9956789965318152,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-16","to":"2026-09-20"},"published_loss_share":0.5974842767295597,"feed_bias":"curated","observed_return_note":"This feed publishes more wins than it publishes losses, proven by an observed return above 100%. Read it as a floor on the operator's curation, not as the game's return.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Winna","game":"5 Lions Megaways 2","provider":"pragmatic play","bets":151,"observed_return":1.6333215894039737,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.5013559739341907,"ci95":[0.6506638804929599,2.615979298314987],"max_multiplier":61.87079,"confidence":"low","margin":0.9826577089110138,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.7218543046357616,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"BC.Game","game":"5 Lions Megaways™ 2","provider":"pragmatic play","bets":104,"observed_return":1.5291346210229197,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.785720574600809,"ci95":[-0.010877705194665799,3.0691469472405055],"max_multiplier":76.05000748732373,"confidence":"low","margin":1.5400123262175855,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.8461538461538461,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}}]}