{"window_days":7,"from":"2026-09-08","games_returned":9,"games_withheld_below_min_bets":11,"min_bets":100,"method":{"estimator":"mean payout multiplier, currency independent","interval":"95%, mean plus or minus 1.96 standard errors","source":"each casino's own public bet feed, captured by us","sampling":"the feeds are rolling windows the operators publish; this is a sample of their flow, not the whole of it, and the selection rule is not visible to us","declared_rtp":"only Stake.com publishes a house edge, so declared_rtp and gap are null for other operators","selection_bias":"the feeds are the operators' own marketing surfaces and the selection leans toward winning rounds, so observed_return is UNCORRECTED and biased upward by an unknown amount that differs per operator. feed_bias reports 'curated' where an observed return above 100% proves the feed is incomplete, since no game returns more than it takes over the long run."},"confidence_levels":{"high":">=10000 bets","moderate":">=1000","low":">=100","insufficient":"<100"},"publishable":["low","moderate","high"],"source_kinds":{"observed":"Counted directly from the operator's public feed.","derived":"Computed from observed data through a documented method.","reported":"Published by the operator. We repeat it, we do not verify it.","estimate":"Model output carrying assumptions. Always a range."},"games":[{"casino":"Roobet","game":"Aviamasters","provider":"softswiss","bets":1469,"observed_return":0.9746146562776687,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.08797281907421962,"ci95":[0.8021879308921983,1.1470413816631393],"max_multiplier":57.5,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.17242672538547046,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-08","to":"2026-09-14"},"published_loss_share":0.8822328114363512,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Roobet","game":"Aviamasters 2","provider":"softswiss","bets":1242,"observed_return":0.9905233494363928,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.09227184605263157,"ci95":[0.8096705311732348,1.1713761676995507],"max_multiplier":42.300000000000004,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.18085281826315788,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-08","to":"2026-09-14"},"published_loss_share":0.9082125603864735,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"Aviamasters","provider":"bgaming","bets":1105,"observed_return":1.0163826933850462,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.09661181504351841,"ci95":[0.8270235358997501,1.2057418508703424],"max_multiplier":54,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.18935915748529608,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-08","to":"2026-09-14"},"published_loss_share":0.8823529411764706,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"Aviamasters 2","provider":"bgaming","bets":537,"observed_return":0.6924878957169454,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.09984127953291867,"ci95":[0.49679898783242477,0.8881768036014659],"max_multiplier":19,"confidence":"low","margin":0.1956889078845206,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-08","to":"2026-09-14"},"published_loss_share":0.9366852886405959,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"Aviamasters X-mas","provider":"bgaming","bets":228,"observed_return":1.3081204678362575,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.30820605784398497,"ci95":[0.7040365944620469,1.912204341210468],"max_multiplier":50.5,"confidence":"low","margin":0.6040838733742105,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-10","to":"2026-09-10"},"published_loss_share":0.8640350877192983,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Stake.com","game":"Aviamasters","provider":"bgaming","bets":223,"observed_return":4.6170543641529616,"declared_rtp":0.97,"gap":3.647054364152962,"std_error":0.6838723402381678,"ci95":[3.2766645772861525,5.957444151019771],"max_multiplier":63.5,"confidence":"low","margin":1.3403897868668089,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-08","to":"2026-09-14"},"published_loss_share":0.672645739910314,"feed_bias":"curated","observed_return_note":"This feed publishes more wins than it publishes losses, proven by an observed return above 100%. Read it as a floor on the operator's curation, not as the game's return.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":"reported","gap":"derived"}},{"casino":"Winna","game":"Winna Aviamasters","provider":"bgaming","bets":223,"observed_return":3.1907148878923772,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.3648030717447818,"ci95":[2.4757008672726046,3.90572890851215],"max_multiplier":43,"confidence":"low","margin":0.7150140206197724,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-08","to":"2026-09-13"},"published_loss_share":0.5246636771300448,"feed_bias":"curated","observed_return_note":"This feed publishes more wins than it publishes losses, proven by an observed return above 100%. Read it as a floor on the operator's curation, not as the game's return.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"BC.Game","game":"Aviamasters","provider":"bgaming","bets":140,"observed_return":0.5942339600722727,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.15424600611418843,"ci95":[0.29191178808846335,0.896556132056082],"max_multiplier":15.875000228398033,"confidence":"low","margin":0.30232217198380934,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-08","to":"2026-09-14"},"published_loss_share":0.9285714285714286,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"Aviamasters","provider":"unknown","bets":115,"observed_return":0.6189208064248649,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.12958560541195815,"ci95":[0.36493301981742693,0.8729085930323028],"max_multiplier":9.937500000000236,"confidence":"low","margin":0.253987786607438,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-08","to":"2026-09-14"},"published_loss_share":0.9043478260869565,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}}]}