{"window_days":7,"from":"2026-10-26","games_returned":3,"games_withheld_below_min_bets":3,"min_bets":100,"method":{"estimator":"mean payout multiplier, currency independent","interval":"95%, mean plus or minus 1.96 standard errors","source":"each casino's own public bet feed, captured by us","sampling":"the feeds are rolling windows the operators publish; this is a sample of their flow, not the whole of it, and the selection rule is not visible to us","declared_rtp":"only Stake.com publishes a house edge, so declared_rtp and gap are null for other operators","selection_bias":"the feeds are the operators' own marketing surfaces and the selection leans toward winning rounds, so observed_return is UNCORRECTED and biased upward by an unknown amount that differs per operator. feed_bias reports 'curated' where an observed return above 100% proves the feed is incomplete, since no game returns more than it takes over the long run."},"confidence_levels":{"high":">=10000 bets","moderate":">=1000","low":">=100","insufficient":"<100"},"publishable":["low","moderate","high"],"source_kinds":{"observed":"Counted directly from the operator's public feed.","derived":"Computed from observed data through a documented method.","reported":"Published by the operator. We repeat it, we do not verify it.","estimate":"Model output carrying assumptions. Always a range."},"games":[{"casino":"Roobet","game":"Aviamasters 2","provider":"softswiss","bets":1384,"observed_return":0.9865953757225434,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.09177967355055763,"ci95":[0.8067072155634505,1.1664835358816363],"max_multiplier":45.99999999999999,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.17988816015909295,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-26","to":"2026-11-02"},"published_loss_share":0.9125722543352601,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Roobet","game":"Aviamasters 2 Halloween","provider":"softswiss","bets":227,"observed_return":0.5983964757709251,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.11115034118235938,"ci95":[0.38054180705350077,0.8162511444883496],"max_multiplier":10.5,"confidence":"low","margin":0.21785466871742437,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-26","to":"2026-11-02"},"published_loss_share":0.9427312775330396,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"Aviamasters 2 Halloween","provider":"unknown","bets":226,"observed_return":0.862212389380531,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.20939975028514007,"ci95":[0.45178887882165647,1.2726358999394056],"max_multiplier":28.00000000000001,"confidence":"low","margin":0.41042351055887455,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-26","to":"2026-11-01"},"published_loss_share":0.9336283185840708,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}}]}