{"window_days":7,"from":"2026-09-13","games_returned":4,"games_withheld_below_min_bets":35,"min_bets":100,"method":{"estimator":"mean payout multiplier, currency independent","interval":"95%, mean plus or minus 1.96 standard errors","source":"each casino's own public bet feed, captured by us","sampling":"the feeds are rolling windows the operators publish; this is a sample of their flow, not the whole of it, and the selection rule is not visible to us","declared_rtp":"only Stake.com publishes a house edge, so declared_rtp and gap are null for other operators","selection_bias":"the feeds are the operators' own marketing surfaces and the selection leans toward winning rounds, so observed_return is UNCORRECTED and biased upward by an unknown amount that differs per operator. feed_bias reports 'curated' where an observed return above 100% proves the feed is incomplete, since no game returns more than it takes over the long run."},"confidence_levels":{"high":">=10000 bets","moderate":">=1000","low":">=100","insufficient":"<100"},"publishable":["low","moderate","high"],"source_kinds":{"observed":"Counted directly from the operator's public feed.","derived":"Computed from observed data through a documented method.","reported":"Published by the operator. We repeat it, we do not verify it.","estimate":"Model output carrying assumptions. Always a range."},"games":[{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"Baccarat 3","provider":"unknown","bets":222,"observed_return":1.041801500105401,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.06344211926223489,"ci95":[0.9174549463514207,1.1661480538593814],"max_multiplier":2.475000000000001,"confidence":"low","margin":0.12434655375398039,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-13","to":"2026-09-20"},"published_loss_share":0.45495495495495497,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Winna","game":"Vietnamese Speed Baccarat 3","provider":"pragmatic play","bets":218,"observed_return":1.6708906880733945,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.047358669301274484,"ci95":[1.5780676962428966,1.7637136799038924],"max_multiplier":2,"confidence":"low","margin":0.09282299183049798,"publishable":false,"withheld":"implausible","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-15","to":"2026-09-20"},"published_loss_share":0.14220183486238533,"feed_bias":"curated","observed_return_note":"This feed publishes more wins than it publishes losses, proven by an observed return above 100%. Read it as a floor on the operator's curation, not as the game's return.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"Japanese Speed Baccarat 3","provider":"unknown","bets":145,"observed_return":1.0013638989082758,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.0794990737458434,"ci95":[0.8455457143664228,1.157182083450129],"max_multiplier":3.1153846153846154,"confidence":"low","margin":0.15581818454185306,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-13","to":"2026-09-20"},"published_loss_share":0.496551724137931,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"Chinese Speed Baccarat 3","provider":"unknown","bets":134,"observed_return":0.9928192685562092,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.08228416086859514,"ci95":[0.8315423132537627,1.1540962238586556],"max_multiplier":2.0335227272727274,"confidence":"low","margin":0.16127695530244646,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-13","to":"2026-09-20"},"published_loss_share":0.4701492537313433,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}}]}