{"window_days":7,"from":"2026-08-30","games_returned":6,"games_withheld_below_min_bets":22,"min_bets":100,"method":{"estimator":"mean payout multiplier, currency independent","interval":"95%, mean plus or minus 1.96 standard errors","source":"each casino's own public bet feed, captured by us","sampling":"the feeds are rolling windows the operators publish; this is a sample of their flow, not the whole of it, and the selection rule is not visible to us","declared_rtp":"only Stake.com publishes a house edge, so declared_rtp and gap are null for other operators","selection_bias":"the feeds are the operators' own marketing surfaces and the selection leans toward winning rounds, so observed_return is UNCORRECTED and biased upward by an unknown amount that differs per operator. feed_bias reports 'curated' where an observed return above 100% proves the feed is incomplete, since no game returns more than it takes over the long run."},"confidence_levels":{"high":">=10000 bets","moderate":">=1000","low":">=100","insufficient":"<100"},"publishable":["low","moderate","high"],"source_kinds":{"observed":"Counted directly from the operator's public feed.","derived":"Computed from observed data through a documented method.","reported":"Published by the operator. We repeat it, we do not verify it.","estimate":"Model output carrying assumptions. Always a range."},"games":[{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"Speed Baccarat A","provider":"unknown","bets":1382,"observed_return":0.9873017359277184,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.02523546026392901,"ci95":[0.9378402338104176,1.0367632380450194],"max_multiplier":4.333333333333333,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.049461502117300854,"publishable":true,"withheld":null,"diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-08-30","to":"2026-09-06"},"published_loss_share":0.4609261939218524,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Roobet","game":"Speed Baccarat A","provider":"unknown","bets":509,"observed_return":0.9699328954854569,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.043676667463303974,"ci95":[0.8843266272573811,1.0555391637135327],"max_multiplier":9,"confidence":"low","margin":0.0856062682280758,"publishable":true,"withheld":null,"diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-08-30","to":"2026-09-06"},"published_loss_share":0.46168958742632615,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Stake.com","game":"Speed Baccarat A","provider":"evolution","bets":449,"observed_return":0.9445609487750557,"declared_rtp":0.9894,"gap":-0.04483905122494425,"std_error":0.04799111659164648,"ci95":[0.8504983602554286,1.0386235372946828],"max_multiplier":9,"confidence":"low","margin":0.09406258851962711,"publishable":true,"withheld":null,"diverges_from_declared":false,"window":{"from":"2026-08-30","to":"2026-09-06"},"published_loss_share":0.46993318485523383,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":"reported","gap":"derived"}},{"casino":"Winna","game":"Speed Baccarat A","provider":"evolution","bets":259,"observed_return":1.5094697683397684,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.06451717760063046,"ci95":[1.3830161002425327,1.635923436437004],"max_multiplier":9,"confidence":"low","margin":0.12645366809723568,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-08-30","to":"2026-09-06"},"published_loss_share":0.21235521235521235,"feed_bias":"curated","observed_return_note":"This feed publishes more wins than it publishes losses, proven by an observed return above 100%. Read it as a floor on the operator's curation, not as the game's return.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"Japanese Speed Baccarat A","provider":"unknown","bets":222,"observed_return":1.0723889825616326,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.07867919038629455,"ci95":[0.9181777694044952,1.22660019571877],"max_multiplier":11.666666666666666,"confidence":"low","margin":0.15421121315713732,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-08-30","to":"2026-09-06"},"published_loss_share":0.44594594594594594,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"Baccarat A","provider":"unknown","bets":165,"observed_return":0.9831381095605501,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.07239111096031313,"ci95":[0.8412515320783365,1.1250246870427638],"max_multiplier":2.0000000000000004,"confidence":"low","margin":0.14188657748221373,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-08-30","to":"2026-09-06"},"published_loss_share":0.4484848484848485,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}}]}