{"window_days":7,"from":"2026-09-14","games_returned":3,"games_withheld_below_min_bets":5,"min_bets":100,"method":{"estimator":"mean payout multiplier, currency independent","interval":"95%, mean plus or minus 1.96 standard errors","source":"each casino's own public bet feed, captured by us","sampling":"the feeds are rolling windows the operators publish; this is a sample of their flow, not the whole of it, and the selection rule is not visible to us","declared_rtp":"only Stake.com publishes a house edge, so declared_rtp and gap are null for other operators","selection_bias":"the feeds are the operators' own marketing surfaces and the selection leans toward winning rounds, so observed_return is UNCORRECTED and biased upward by an unknown amount that differs per operator. feed_bias reports 'curated' where an observed return above 100% proves the feed is incomplete, since no game returns more than it takes over the long run."},"confidence_levels":{"high":">=10000 bets","moderate":">=1000","low":">=100","insufficient":"<100"},"publishable":["low","moderate","high"],"source_kinds":{"observed":"Counted directly from the operator's public feed.","derived":"Computed from observed data through a documented method.","reported":"Published by the operator. We repeat it, we do not verify it.","estimate":"Model output carrying assumptions. Always a range."},"games":[{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"Big Bass Trophy Catch","provider":"pragmatic play","bets":1827,"observed_return":0.32193030468892575,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.04384089988305406,"ci95":[0.23600214091813979,0.40785846845971174],"max_multiplier":44.00000000000001,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.08592816377078596,"publishable":false,"withheld":"implausible","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-15","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.9348659003831418,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Roobet","game":"Big Bass Trophy Catch","provider":"pragmatic play","bets":1656,"observed_return":0.9785987580259154,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.2240321251153122,"ci95":[0.5394957927999036,1.4177017232519273],"max_multiplier":213.1730786544901,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.4391029652260119,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.9214975845410628,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Winna","game":"Big Bass Trophy Catch","provider":"pragmatic play","bets":248,"observed_return":1.897578185483871,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.5831289924551663,"ci95":[0.7546453602717451,3.0405110106959965],"max_multiplier":100.8,"confidence":"low","margin":1.1429328252121258,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.6693548387096774,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}}]}