{"window_days":7,"from":"2026-10-26","games_returned":5,"games_withheld_below_min_bets":20,"min_bets":100,"method":{"estimator":"mean payout multiplier, currency independent","interval":"95%, mean plus or minus 1.96 standard errors","source":"each casino's own public bet feed, captured by us","sampling":"the feeds are rolling windows the operators publish; this is a sample of their flow, not the whole of it, and the selection rule is not visible to us","declared_rtp":"only Stake.com publishes a house edge, so declared_rtp and gap are null for other operators","selection_bias":"the feeds are the operators' own marketing surfaces and the selection leans toward winning rounds, so observed_return is UNCORRECTED and biased upward by an unknown amount that differs per operator. feed_bias reports 'curated' where an observed return above 100% proves the feed is incomplete, since no game returns more than it takes over the long run."},"confidence_levels":{"high":">=10000 bets","moderate":">=1000","low":">=100","insufficient":"<100"},"publishable":["low","moderate","high"],"source_kinds":{"observed":"Counted directly from the operator's public feed.","derived":"Computed from observed data through a documented method.","reported":"Published by the operator. We repeat it, we do not verify it.","estimate":"Model output carrying assumptions. Always a range."},"games":[{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"Chicken","provider":"unknown","bets":3696,"observed_return":1.2573565401993843,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.3174487316689285,"ci95":[0.6351570261282844,1.8795560542704841],"max_multiplier":633.08,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.6221995140710999,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-26","to":"2026-11-02"},"published_loss_share":0.8095238095238095,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Winna","game":"Chicken Halloween","provider":"bgaming","bets":2375,"observed_return":3.165810526315789,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.10728383360649053,"ci95":[2.9555342124470676,3.3760868401845108],"max_multiplier":64,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.21027631386872145,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-27","to":"2026-11-02"},"published_loss_share":0.27578947368421053,"feed_bias":"curated","observed_return_note":"This feed publishes more wins than it publishes losses, proven by an observed return above 100%. Read it as a floor on the operator's curation, not as the game's return.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Roobet","game":"Chicken Man","provider":"hacksaw","bets":538,"observed_return":0.5778488093970627,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.23361926255841983,"ci95":[0.11995505478255986,1.0357425640115656],"max_multiplier":121.35,"confidence":"low","margin":0.4578937546145029,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-26","to":"2026-11-02"},"published_loss_share":0.9089219330855018,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"Johnny vs Chicken","provider":"unknown","bets":481,"observed_return":0.9983083853083852,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.03696772925247237,"ci95":[0.9258516359735394,1.070765134643231],"max_multiplier":4,"confidence":"low","margin":0.07245674933484583,"publishable":true,"withheld":null,"diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-26","to":"2026-11-02"},"published_loss_share":0.7110187110187111,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"Chicken Halloween","provider":"unknown","bets":362,"observed_return":0.9654696132596685,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.21347029593330877,"ci95":[0.5470678332303833,1.3838713932889537],"max_multiplier":64.00000000000001,"confidence":"low","margin":0.4184017800292852,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-26","to":"2026-11-02"},"published_loss_share":0.7734806629834254,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}}]}