{"window_days":7,"from":"2026-09-14","games_returned":8,"games_withheld_below_min_bets":15,"min_bets":100,"method":{"estimator":"mean payout multiplier, currency independent","interval":"95%, mean plus or minus 1.96 standard errors","source":"each casino's own public bet feed, captured by us","sampling":"the feeds are rolling windows the operators publish; this is a sample of their flow, not the whole of it, and the selection rule is not visible to us","declared_rtp":"only Stake.com publishes a house edge, so declared_rtp and gap are null for other operators","selection_bias":"the feeds are the operators' own marketing surfaces and the selection leans toward winning rounds, so observed_return is UNCORRECTED and biased upward by an unknown amount that differs per operator. feed_bias reports 'curated' where an observed return above 100% proves the feed is incomplete, since no game returns more than it takes over the long run."},"confidence_levels":{"high":">=10000 bets","moderate":">=1000","low":">=100","insufficient":"<100"},"publishable":["low","moderate","high"],"source_kinds":{"observed":"Counted directly from the operator's public feed.","derived":"Computed from observed data through a documented method.","reported":"Published by the operator. We repeat it, we do not verify it.","estimate":"Model output carrying assumptions. Always a range."},"games":[{"casino":"Roobet","game":"Crash","provider":"housegames","bets":6142,"observed_return":1.1472427897524744,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.03074696632873222,"ci95":[1.0869787357481593,1.2075068437567895],"max_multiplier":97.85237838645659,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.06026405400431515,"publishable":false,"withheld":"implausible","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.5387495929664604,"feed_bias":"curated","observed_return_note":"This feed publishes more wins than it publishes losses, proven by an observed return above 100%. Read it as a floor on the operator's curation, not as the game's return.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"Crash","provider":"unknown","bets":3551,"observed_return":1.0410274478315966,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.025834497315206453,"ci95":[0.990391833093792,1.0916630625694013],"max_multiplier":38,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.050635614737804646,"publishable":false,"withheld":"implausible","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.5012672486623486,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"Crash","provider":"cloudbet","bets":1968,"observed_return":0.052002664404672286,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.005183959304003381,"ci95":[0.04184210416882566,0.06216322464051891],"max_multiplier":1.5,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.010160560235846626,"publishable":false,"withheld":"implausible","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.9507113821138211,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"BC.Game","game":"Fast Crash","provider":"bc originals","bets":1207,"observed_return":0.848997513048479,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.07072133057565216,"ci95":[0.7103837051202008,0.9876113209767573],"max_multiplier":65,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.13861380792827824,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.5824357912178956,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"Crash","provider":"galaxsys","bets":781,"observed_return":0.011677336747759285,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.0044626095742335,"ci95":[0.002930621982261624,0.020424051513256946],"max_multiplier":1.63,"confidence":"low","margin":0.008746714765497661,"publishable":false,"withheld":"implausible","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-16","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.9910371318822023,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"Chicken Crash","provider":"galaxsys","bets":308,"observed_return":0.5006210456210456,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.17174871698495967,"ci95":[0.16399356033052465,0.8372485309115665],"max_multiplier":25,"confidence":"low","margin":0.33662748529052094,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-15","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.9285714285714286,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"BC.Game","game":"Crash","provider":"bc originals","bets":134,"observed_return":0.628955223880597,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.1402579438286738,"ci95":[0.3540496539763964,0.9038607937847976],"max_multiplier":10,"confidence":"low","margin":0.2749055699042006,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.7686567164179104,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"Limbo Crash","provider":"galaxsys","bets":114,"observed_return":0.8508771929824561,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.070156199270949,"ci95":[0.713371042411396,0.9883833435535162],"max_multiplier":3,"confidence":"low","margin":0.13750615057106005,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-20"},"published_loss_share":0.30701754385964913,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}}]}