{"window_days":7,"from":"2026-09-10","games_returned":6,"games_withheld_below_min_bets":9,"min_bets":100,"method":{"estimator":"mean payout multiplier, currency independent","interval":"95%, mean plus or minus 1.96 standard errors","source":"each casino's own public bet feed, captured by us","sampling":"the feeds are rolling windows the operators publish; this is a sample of their flow, not the whole of it, and the selection rule is not visible to us","declared_rtp":"only Stake.com publishes a house edge, so declared_rtp and gap are null for other operators","selection_bias":"the feeds are the operators' own marketing surfaces and the selection leans toward winning rounds, so observed_return is UNCORRECTED and biased upward by an unknown amount that differs per operator. feed_bias reports 'curated' where an observed return above 100% proves the feed is incomplete, since no game returns more than it takes over the long run."},"confidence_levels":{"high":">=10000 bets","moderate":">=1000","low":">=100","insufficient":"<100"},"publishable":["low","moderate","high"],"source_kinds":{"observed":"Counted directly from the operator's public feed.","derived":"Computed from observed data through a documented method.","reported":"Published by the operator. We repeat it, we do not verify it.","estimate":"Model output carrying assumptions. Always a range."},"games":[{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"Crazy Time","provider":"evolution","bets":4537,"observed_return":0.15449988987807148,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.0131176168173829,"ci95":[0.128789360916001,0.18021041884014197],"max_multiplier":26,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.025710528962070482,"publishable":false,"withheld":"implausible","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-10","to":"2026-09-17"},"published_loss_share":0.9587833370068327,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Roobet","game":"Crazy Time","provider":"unknown","bets":1395,"observed_return":0.916996563434816,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.11330905709148822,"ci95":[0.694910811535499,1.139082315334133],"max_multiplier":101,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.22208575189931692,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-10","to":"2026-09-17"},"published_loss_share":0.8121863799283154,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Stake.com","game":"Crazy Time","provider":"evolution","bets":643,"observed_return":2.0742809751166407,"declared_rtp":0.955,"gap":1.1192809751166406,"std_error":0.21851711827843895,"ci95":[1.6459874232909004,2.502574526942381],"max_multiplier":62.625,"confidence":"low","margin":0.42829355182574036,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-10","to":"2026-09-14"},"published_loss_share":0.6967340590979783,"feed_bias":"curated","observed_return_note":"This feed publishes more wins than it publishes losses, proven by an observed return above 100%. Read it as a floor on the operator's curation, not as the game's return.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":"reported","gap":"derived"}},{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"Crazy Time","provider":"unknown","bets":637,"observed_return":0.6704038816887768,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.07716688202703048,"ci95":[0.5191567929157971,0.8216509704617566],"max_multiplier":25.142857142857142,"confidence":"low","margin":0.15124708877297974,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-10","to":"2026-09-17"},"published_loss_share":0.8116169544740973,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Winna","game":"Crazy Time","provider":"evolution","bets":155,"observed_return":2.3383329677419353,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.5548078229226177,"ci95":[1.2509096348136048,3.425756300670266],"max_multiplier":70.4927,"confidence":"low","margin":1.0874233329283305,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-10","to":"2026-09-17"},"published_loss_share":0.5161290322580645,"feed_bias":"curated","observed_return_note":"This feed publishes more wins than it publishes losses, proven by an observed return above 100%. Read it as a floor on the operator's curation, not as the game's return.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Roobet","game":"Crazy Time A","provider":"unknown","bets":149,"observed_return":1.3546733758744536,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.3884094823821151,"ci95":[0.593390790405508,2.115955961343399],"max_multiplier":37.75,"confidence":"low","margin":0.7612825854689456,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-10","to":"2026-09-17"},"published_loss_share":0.7583892617449665,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}}]}