{"window_days":7,"from":"2026-08-29","games_returned":12,"games_withheld_below_min_bets":73,"min_bets":100,"method":{"estimator":"mean payout multiplier, currency independent","interval":"95%, mean plus or minus 1.96 standard errors","source":"each casino's own public bet feed, captured by us","sampling":"the feeds are rolling windows the operators publish; this is a sample of their flow, not the whole of it, and the selection rule is not visible to us","declared_rtp":"only Stake.com publishes a house edge, so declared_rtp and gap are null for other operators","selection_bias":"the feeds are the operators' own marketing surfaces and the selection leans toward winning rounds, so observed_return is UNCORRECTED and biased upward by an unknown amount that differs per operator. feed_bias reports 'curated' where an observed return above 100% proves the feed is incomplete, since no game returns more than it takes over the long run."},"confidence_levels":{"high":">=10000 bets","moderate":">=1000","low":">=100","insufficient":"<100"},"publishable":["low","moderate","high"],"source_kinds":{"observed":"Counted directly from the operator's public feed.","derived":"Computed from observed data through a documented method.","reported":"Published by the operator. We repeat it, we do not verify it.","estimate":"Model output carrying assumptions. Always a range."},"games":[{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"Super Hotfire Diamonds","provider":"three oaks","bets":1458,"observed_return":0.5466392318244172,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.07431288199704207,"ci95":[0.4009859831102147,0.6922924805386197],"max_multiplier":54,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.14565324871420246,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-04","to":"2026-09-05"},"published_loss_share":0.8964334705075446,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"Diamonds","provider":"cloudbet","bets":1379,"observed_return":0.9630891950688905,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.03512643677528351,"ci95":[0.8942413789893348,1.031937011148446],"max_multiplier":5,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.06884781607955567,"publishable":true,"withheld":null,"diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-03","to":"2026-09-05"},"published_loss_share":0.6511965192168238,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"9 Blazing Diamonds Wowpot","provider":"spin play games","bets":1347,"observed_return":0.7778173719376392,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.08882106719553284,"ci95":[0.6037280802343948,0.9519066636408836],"max_multiplier":50,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.17408929170324436,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-04","to":"2026-09-05"},"published_loss_share":0.8158871566443949,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"Turbo Diamonds: Hold and Win","provider":"unknown","bets":1255,"observed_return":0.9266932270916355,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.1873884197091653,"ci95":[0.5594119244616715,1.2939745297215994],"max_multiplier":120,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.367281302629964,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-08-29","to":"2026-09-04"},"published_loss_share":0.8868525896414342,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Roobet","game":"Coins'n Diamonds Fortune","provider":"1spin4win","bets":1082,"observed_return":1.1358595194085028,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.2496765354748266,"ci95":[0.6464935098778427,1.625225528939163],"max_multiplier":137,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.4893660095306601,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-08-29","to":"2026-09-05"},"published_loss_share":0.8826247689463955,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Stake.com","game":"diamonds","provider":"stake","bets":394,"observed_return":1.332741116751269,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.14343779321725256,"ci95":[1.051603042045454,1.613879191457084],"max_multiplier":50,"confidence":"low","margin":0.28113807470581503,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-08-29","to":"2026-09-05"},"published_loss_share":0.5786802030456852,"feed_bias":"curated","observed_return_note":"This feed publishes more wins than it publishes losses, proven by an observed return above 100%. Read it as a floor on the operator's curation, not as the game's return.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Roobet","game":"3 Energy Diamonds: Hold and Win","provider":"hub88","bets":375,"observed_return":0.8115555555555557,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.45636515536224564,"ci95":[-0.08292014895444577,1.7060312600655572],"max_multiplier":170,"confidence":"low","margin":0.8944757045100015,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-08-29","to":"2026-09-04"},"published_loss_share":0.8826666666666667,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Roobet","game":"Deco Diamonds Deluxe","provider":"hub88","bets":248,"observed_return":0.9051075268817205,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.3203821300269098,"ci95":[0.2771585520289773,1.5330565017344635],"max_multiplier":71.2,"confidence":"low","margin":0.6279489748527431,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-08-29","to":"2026-09-04"},"published_loss_share":0.8508064516129032,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Roobet","game":"Coins & Diamonds: Hold and Win","provider":"hub88","bets":231,"observed_return":1.44498556998557,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.5178804288376292,"ci95":[0.4299399294638169,2.4600312105073234],"max_multiplier":76,"confidence":"low","margin":1.0150456405217532,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-08-29","to":"2026-09-05"},"published_loss_share":0.8658008658008658,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"Sticky Diamonds","provider":"gamomat","bets":192,"observed_return":0.7994791666666666,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.30674076447485976,"ci95":[0.19826726829594155,1.4006910650373916],"max_multiplier":54,"confidence":"low","margin":0.6012118983707251,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-03","to":"2026-09-03"},"published_loss_share":0.8541666666666666,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"BC.Game","game":"Diamonds of Liberty","provider":"booming games","bets":120,"observed_return":0.9438541666640708,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.1483405016287763,"ci95":[0.6531067834716693,1.2346015498564724],"max_multiplier":12,"confidence":"low","margin":0.2907473831924015,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-04","to":"2026-09-05"},"published_loss_share":0.675,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Roobet","game":"Mega Booming Diamonds","provider":"1spin4win","bets":107,"observed_return":1.560747663551402,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.9433400212458228,"ci95":[-0.2881987780904107,3.4096941051932146],"max_multiplier":95.99999999999999,"confidence":"low","margin":1.8489464416418127,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-08-29","to":"2026-09-04"},"published_loss_share":0.897196261682243,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}}]}