{"window_days":7,"from":"2026-09-01","games_returned":3,"games_withheld_below_min_bets":1,"min_bets":100,"method":{"estimator":"mean payout multiplier, currency independent","interval":"95%, mean plus or minus 1.96 standard errors","source":"each casino's own public bet feed, captured by us","sampling":"the feeds are rolling windows the operators publish; this is a sample of their flow, not the whole of it, and the selection rule is not visible to us","declared_rtp":"only Stake.com publishes a house edge, so declared_rtp and gap are null for other operators","selection_bias":"the feeds are the operators' own marketing surfaces and the selection leans toward winning rounds, so observed_return is UNCORRECTED and biased upward by an unknown amount that differs per operator. feed_bias reports 'curated' where an observed return above 100% proves the feed is incomplete, since no game returns more than it takes over the long run."},"confidence_levels":{"high":">=10000 bets","moderate":">=1000","low":">=100","insufficient":"<100"},"publishable":["low","moderate","high"],"source_kinds":{"observed":"Counted directly from the operator's public feed.","derived":"Computed from observed data through a documented method.","reported":"Published by the operator. We repeat it, we do not verify it.","estimate":"Model output carrying assumptions. Always a range."},"games":[{"casino":"BC.Game","game":"Fortune Gems 2","provider":"tada mexico","bets":673,"observed_return":1.2477464400671006,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.20641779648568842,"ci95":[0.8431675589551513,1.6523253211790498],"max_multiplier":66.66666742555556,"confidence":"low","margin":0.4045788811119493,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-03","to":"2026-09-08"},"published_loss_share":0.8796433878157504,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"BC.Game","game":"Fortune Gems 2","provider":"jili","bets":660,"observed_return":1.0007075100939011,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.21077369485753134,"ci95":[0.5875910681731398,1.4138239520146625],"max_multiplier":100.00000024400342,"confidence":"low","margin":0.4131164419207614,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-03","to":"2026-09-08"},"published_loss_share":0.8939393939393939,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"BC.Game","game":"Fortune Gems 2","provider":"tada","bets":134,"observed_return":0.8746285480396473,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.29476573794481203,"ci95":[0.29688770166781575,1.4523693944114788],"max_multiplier":24.000000802302843,"confidence":"low","margin":0.5777408463718315,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-03","to":"2026-09-07"},"published_loss_share":0.9029850746268657,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}}]}