{"window_days":7,"from":"2026-10-26","games_returned":5,"games_withheld_below_min_bets":1,"min_bets":100,"method":{"estimator":"mean payout multiplier, currency independent","interval":"95%, mean plus or minus 1.96 standard errors","source":"each casino's own public bet feed, captured by us","sampling":"the feeds are rolling windows the operators publish; this is a sample of their flow, not the whole of it, and the selection rule is not visible to us","declared_rtp":"only Stake.com publishes a house edge, so declared_rtp and gap are null for other operators","selection_bias":"the feeds are the operators' own marketing surfaces and the selection leans toward winning rounds, so observed_return is UNCORRECTED and biased upward by an unknown amount that differs per operator. feed_bias reports 'curated' where an observed return above 100% proves the feed is incomplete, since no game returns more than it takes over the long run."},"confidence_levels":{"high":">=10000 bets","moderate":">=1000","low":">=100","insufficient":"<100"},"publishable":["low","moderate","high"],"source_kinds":{"observed":"Counted directly from the operator's public feed.","derived":"Computed from observed data through a documented method.","reported":"Published by the operator. We repeat it, we do not verify it.","estimate":"Model output carrying assumptions. Always a range."},"games":[{"casino":"Roobet","game":"Fruit Party","provider":"pragmatic play","bets":3175,"observed_return":0.831061798444385,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.1061017746757435,"ci95":[0.6231023200799277,1.0390212768088423],"max_multiplier":231.25,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.20795947836445725,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-26","to":"2026-11-02"},"published_loss_share":0.8529133858267717,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"Fruit Party","provider":"unknown","bets":1656,"observed_return":1.0231008454106278,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.08408363709020489,"ci95":[0.8582969167138262,1.1879047741074293],"max_multiplier":77.8,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.16480392869680158,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-26","to":"2026-11-02"},"published_loss_share":0.7276570048309179,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Winna","game":"Fruit Party","provider":"pragmatic play","bets":576,"observed_return":1.8587950520833334,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.4200940257093019,"ci95":[1.0354107616931016,2.682179342473565],"max_multiplier":219.45,"confidence":"low","margin":0.8233842903902316,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-26","to":"2026-11-02"},"published_loss_share":0.5503472222222222,"feed_bias":"curated","observed_return_note":"This feed publishes more wins than it publishes losses, proven by an observed return above 100%. Read it as a floor on the operator's curation, not as the game's return.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"Fruit Party 2","provider":"unknown","bets":384,"observed_return":0.8890143229166666,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.05430399587793433,"ci95":[0.7825784909959153,0.9954501548374179],"max_multiplier":10.4925,"confidence":"low","margin":0.10643583192075129,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-26","to":"2026-11-02"},"published_loss_share":0.7421875,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Roobet","game":"Fruit Party 2","provider":"pragmatic play","bets":239,"observed_return":0.5533224951431289,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.08560324081546411,"ci95":[0.38554014314481927,0.7211048471414385],"max_multiplier":9.3,"confidence":"low","margin":0.16778235199830965,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-26","to":"2026-11-02"},"published_loss_share":0.8200836820083682,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}}]}