{"window_days":7,"from":"2026-10-29","games_returned":3,"games_withheld_below_min_bets":0,"min_bets":100,"method":{"estimator":"mean payout multiplier, currency independent","interval":"95%, mean plus or minus 1.96 standard errors","source":"each casino's own public bet feed, captured by us","sampling":"the feeds are rolling windows the operators publish; this is a sample of their flow, not the whole of it, and the selection rule is not visible to us","declared_rtp":"only Stake.com publishes a house edge, so declared_rtp and gap are null for other operators","selection_bias":"the feeds are the operators' own marketing surfaces and the selection leans toward winning rounds, so observed_return is UNCORRECTED and biased upward by an unknown amount that differs per operator. feed_bias reports 'curated' where an observed return above 100% proves the feed is incomplete, since no game returns more than it takes over the long run."},"confidence_levels":{"high":">=10000 bets","moderate":">=1000","low":">=100","insufficient":"<100"},"publishable":["low","moderate","high"],"source_kinds":{"observed":"Counted directly from the operator's public feed.","derived":"Computed from observed data through a documented method.","reported":"Published by the operator. We repeat it, we do not verify it.","estimate":"Model output carrying assumptions. Always a range."},"games":[{"casino":"Roobet","game":"Gems Bonanza","provider":"pragmatic play","bets":2066,"observed_return":0.9273295027920544,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.12926479802251323,"ci95":[0.6739704986679285,1.1806885069161803],"max_multiplier":150.4,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.25335900412412593,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-29","to":"2026-11-05"},"published_loss_share":0.9060987415295256,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Winna","game":"Gems Bonanza","provider":"pragmatic play","bets":436,"observed_return":1.8254694495412844,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.46813371124584746,"ci95":[0.9079273754994234,2.7430115235831454],"max_multiplier":161.3,"confidence":"low","margin":0.917542074041861,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-29","to":"2026-11-05"},"published_loss_share":0.75,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"Gems Bonanza","provider":"unknown","bets":192,"observed_return":0.8006510416666658,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.14893317105365933,"ci95":[0.5087420264014935,1.092560056931838],"max_multiplier":20.618,"confidence":"low","margin":0.29190901526517227,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-29","to":"2026-11-05"},"published_loss_share":0.8125,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}}]}