{"window_days":7,"from":"2026-09-10","games_returned":3,"games_withheld_below_min_bets":1,"min_bets":100,"method":{"estimator":"mean payout multiplier, currency independent","interval":"95%, mean plus or minus 1.96 standard errors","source":"each casino's own public bet feed, captured by us","sampling":"the feeds are rolling windows the operators publish; this is a sample of their flow, not the whole of it, and the selection rule is not visible to us","declared_rtp":"only Stake.com publishes a house edge, so declared_rtp and gap are null for other operators","selection_bias":"the feeds are the operators' own marketing surfaces and the selection leans toward winning rounds, so observed_return is UNCORRECTED and biased upward by an unknown amount that differs per operator. feed_bias reports 'curated' where an observed return above 100% proves the feed is incomplete, since no game returns more than it takes over the long run."},"confidence_levels":{"high":">=10000 bets","moderate":">=1000","low":">=100","insufficient":"<100"},"publishable":["low","moderate","high"],"source_kinds":{"observed":"Counted directly from the operator's public feed.","derived":"Computed from observed data through a documented method.","reported":"Published by the operator. We repeat it, we do not verify it.","estimate":"Model output carrying assumptions. Always a range."},"games":[{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"Le Bandit Hold & Win","provider":"hacksaw","bets":2050,"observed_return":0.45180487804878156,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.03776522963220823,"ci95":[0.3777850279696534,0.5258247281279097],"max_multiplier":31.6,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.07401985007912812,"publishable":false,"withheld":"implausible","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-15","to":"2026-09-17"},"published_loss_share":0.8517073170731707,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Roobet","game":"Le Bandit Hold & Win","provider":"hacksaw","bets":1732,"observed_return":0.8797963569741272,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.07913580482296576,"ci95":[0.7246901795211143,1.03490253442714],"max_multiplier":47,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.1551061774530129,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-15","to":"2026-09-17"},"published_loss_share":0.7973441108545035,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Winna","game":"Le Bandit Hold & Win","provider":"hacksaw","bets":450,"observed_return":2.353878022222222,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.2808056986617231,"ci95":[1.803498852845245,2.9042571915991995],"max_multiplier":70.4,"confidence":"low","margin":0.5503791693769773,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-15","to":"2026-09-17"},"published_loss_share":0.4822222222222222,"feed_bias":"curated","observed_return_note":"This feed publishes more wins than it publishes losses, proven by an observed return above 100%. Read it as a floor on the operator's curation, not as the game's return.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}}]}