{"window_days":7,"from":"2026-10-26","games_returned":6,"games_withheld_below_min_bets":11,"min_bets":100,"method":{"estimator":"mean payout multiplier, currency independent","interval":"95%, mean plus or minus 1.96 standard errors","source":"each casino's own public bet feed, captured by us","sampling":"the feeds are rolling windows the operators publish; this is a sample of their flow, not the whole of it, and the selection rule is not visible to us","declared_rtp":"only Stake.com publishes a house edge, so declared_rtp and gap are null for other operators","selection_bias":"the feeds are the operators' own marketing surfaces and the selection leans toward winning rounds, so observed_return is UNCORRECTED and biased upward by an unknown amount that differs per operator. feed_bias reports 'curated' where an observed return above 100% proves the feed is incomplete, since no game returns more than it takes over the long run."},"confidence_levels":{"high":">=10000 bets","moderate":">=1000","low":">=100","insufficient":"<100"},"publishable":["low","moderate","high"],"source_kinds":{"observed":"Counted directly from the operator's public feed.","derived":"Computed from observed data through a documented method.","reported":"Published by the operator. We repeat it, we do not verify it.","estimate":"Model output carrying assumptions. Always a range."},"games":[{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"Lightning Roulette","provider":"unknown","bets":697,"observed_return":0.8925554309715282,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.04563066344917546,"ci95":[0.8031193306111444,0.9819915313319121],"max_multiplier":15,"confidence":"low","margin":0.08943610036038391,"publishable":true,"withheld":null,"diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-26","to":"2026-11-02"},"published_loss_share":0.5911047345767575,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Roobet","game":"Lightning Roulette","provider":"unknown","bets":595,"observed_return":0.898469658241809,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.08155984687507503,"ci95":[0.738612358366662,1.058326958116956],"max_multiplier":30,"confidence":"low","margin":0.15985729987514705,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-26","to":"2026-11-02"},"published_loss_share":0.7075630252100841,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Roobet","game":"XXXtreme Lightning Roulette","provider":"unknown","bets":452,"observed_return":0.9137544175689339,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.1358834659648917,"ci95":[0.6474228242777462,1.1800860108601217],"max_multiplier":38.888888888888886,"confidence":"low","margin":0.2663315932911877,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-26","to":"2026-11-02"},"published_loss_share":0.7345132743362832,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Winna","game":"Lightning Roulette","provider":"evolution","bets":395,"observed_return":1.4574381265822787,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.1100032436359047,"ci95":[1.2418317690559055,1.6730444841086518],"max_multiplier":30,"confidence":"low","margin":0.21560635752637322,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-26","to":"2026-11-02"},"published_loss_share":0.43037974683544306,"feed_bias":"curated","observed_return_note":"This feed publishes more wins than it publishes losses, proven by an observed return above 100%. Read it as a floor on the operator's curation, not as the game's return.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"XXXTreme Lightning Roulette","provider":"unknown","bets":188,"observed_return":0.8979155233539787,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.13631876605250012,"ci95":[0.6307307418910785,1.165100304816879],"max_multiplier":21.917808219178088,"confidence":"low","margin":0.26718478146290026,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-26","to":"2026-11-02"},"published_loss_share":0.6170212765957447,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"First Person XXXtreme Lightning Roulette","provider":"unknown","bets":138,"observed_return":1.0566668134483772,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.2971730962713429,"ci95":[0.47420754475654514,1.6391260821402094],"max_multiplier":28.571428571428573,"confidence":"low","margin":0.5824592686918321,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-26","to":"2026-11-01"},"published_loss_share":0.7318840579710145,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}}]}