{"window_days":7,"from":"2026-10-02","games_returned":2,"games_withheld_below_min_bets":6,"min_bets":100,"method":{"estimator":"mean payout multiplier, currency independent","interval":"95%, mean plus or minus 1.96 standard errors","source":"each casino's own public bet feed, captured by us","sampling":"the feeds are rolling windows the operators publish; this is a sample of their flow, not the whole of it, and the selection rule is not visible to us","declared_rtp":"only Stake.com publishes a house edge, so declared_rtp and gap are null for other operators","selection_bias":"the feeds are the operators' own marketing surfaces and the selection leans toward winning rounds, so observed_return is UNCORRECTED and biased upward by an unknown amount that differs per operator. feed_bias reports 'curated' where an observed return above 100% proves the feed is incomplete, since no game returns more than it takes over the long run."},"confidence_levels":{"high":">=10000 bets","moderate":">=1000","low":">=100","insufficient":"<100"},"publishable":["low","moderate","high"],"source_kinds":{"observed":"Counted directly from the operator's public feed.","derived":"Computed from observed data through a documented method.","reported":"Published by the operator. We repeat it, we do not verify it.","estimate":"Model output carrying assumptions. Always a range."},"games":[{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"Marble Race","provider":"evolution","bets":2184,"observed_return":0.7481976973756738,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.03911224519240752,"ci95":[0.671537696798555,0.8248576979527925],"max_multiplier":5.766666666666667,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.07666000057711873,"publishable":false,"withheld":"implausible","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-02","to":"2026-10-09"},"published_loss_share":0.8438644688644689,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Yeet","game":"Marble Race","provider":"evolution","bets":691,"observed_return":0.9599553786782441,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.000698748546128209,"ci95":[0.9585858315278328,0.9613249258286554],"max_multiplier":1.4375,"confidence":"low","margin":0.0013695471504112896,"publishable":true,"withheld":null,"diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-05","to":"2026-10-09"},"published_loss_share":0.9985528219971056,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}}]}