{"window_days":7,"from":"2026-10-14","games_returned":7,"games_withheld_below_min_bets":10,"min_bets":100,"method":{"estimator":"mean payout multiplier, currency independent","interval":"95%, mean plus or minus 1.96 standard errors","source":"each casino's own public bet feed, captured by us","sampling":"the feeds are rolling windows the operators publish; this is a sample of their flow, not the whole of it, and the selection rule is not visible to us","declared_rtp":"only Stake.com publishes a house edge, so declared_rtp and gap are null for other operators","selection_bias":"the feeds are the operators' own marketing surfaces and the selection leans toward winning rounds, so observed_return is UNCORRECTED and biased upward by an unknown amount that differs per operator. feed_bias reports 'curated' where an observed return above 100% proves the feed is incomplete, since no game returns more than it takes over the long run."},"confidence_levels":{"high":">=10000 bets","moderate":">=1000","low":">=100","insufficient":"<100"},"publishable":["low","moderate","high"],"source_kinds":{"observed":"Counted directly from the operator's public feed.","derived":"Computed from observed data through a documented method.","reported":"Published by the operator. We repeat it, we do not verify it.","estimate":"Model output carrying assumptions. Always a range."},"games":[{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"Money Train 4","provider":"relax gaming","bets":9212,"observed_return":0.9001508901432914,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.08785571127759878,"ci95":[0.7279536960391978,1.072348084247385],"max_multiplier":498,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.1721971941040936,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-19","to":"2026-10-20"},"published_loss_share":0.8669127225358229,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"Money Train 5","provider":"relax gaming","bets":1017,"observed_return":1.1171189773844636,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.3779736502400723,"ci95":[0.376290622913922,1.8579473318550053],"max_multiplier":356.00000000000006,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.7408283544705416,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-14","to":"2026-10-20"},"published_loss_share":0.8947885939036382,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"Money Train 3","provider":"relax gaming","bets":904,"observed_return":0.9658893805309736,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.248366034099289,"ci95":[0.47909195369636715,1.45268680736558],"max_multiplier":157.60000000000002,"confidence":"low","margin":0.4867974268346065,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-14","to":"2026-10-20"},"published_loss_share":0.8926991150442478,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Roobet","game":"Money Train 5","provider":"relax gaming","bets":527,"observed_return":1.0066532724337898,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.5357180755677033,"ci95":[-0.04335415567890877,2.0566607005464883],"max_multiplier":272.6666666666667,"confidence":"low","margin":1.0500074281126985,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-14","to":"2026-10-20"},"published_loss_share":0.9278937381404174,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Winna","game":"Money Train 5","provider":"relax gaming","bets":238,"observed_return":5.324887563025211,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":1.4727616075828915,"ci95":[2.4382748121627436,8.211500313887678],"max_multiplier":294.40002,"confidence":"low","margin":2.8866127508624673,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-15","to":"2026-10-20"},"published_loss_share":0.49159663865546216,"feed_bias":"curated","observed_return_note":"This feed publishes more wins than it publishes losses, proven by an observed return above 100%. Read it as a floor on the operator's curation, not as the game's return.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Roobet","game":"Money Train 4","provider":"relax gaming","bets":113,"observed_return":2.731185840707965,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":1.025821227038308,"ci95":[0.7205762357128811,4.741795445703049],"max_multiplier":60.204,"confidence":"low","margin":2.010609604995084,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-14","to":"2026-10-20"},"published_loss_share":0.7787610619469026,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Roobet","game":"Money Train 3","provider":"relax gaming","bets":112,"observed_return":1.1593750000000003,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.7880675781130645,"ci95":[-0.38523745310160606,2.7039874531016066],"max_multiplier":87.8,"confidence":"low","margin":1.5446124531016063,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-14","to":"2026-10-20"},"published_loss_share":0.9196428571428571,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}}]}