{"window_days":7,"from":"2026-10-25","games_returned":4,"games_withheld_below_min_bets":8,"min_bets":100,"method":{"estimator":"mean payout multiplier, currency independent","interval":"95%, mean plus or minus 1.96 standard errors","source":"each casino's own public bet feed, captured by us","sampling":"the feeds are rolling windows the operators publish; this is a sample of their flow, not the whole of it, and the selection rule is not visible to us","declared_rtp":"only Stake.com publishes a house edge, so declared_rtp and gap are null for other operators","selection_bias":"the feeds are the operators' own marketing surfaces and the selection leans toward winning rounds, so observed_return is UNCORRECTED and biased upward by an unknown amount that differs per operator. feed_bias reports 'curated' where an observed return above 100% proves the feed is incomplete, since no game returns more than it takes over the long run."},"confidence_levels":{"high":">=10000 bets","moderate":">=1000","low":">=100","insufficient":"<100"},"publishable":["low","moderate","high"],"source_kinds":{"observed":"Counted directly from the operator's public feed.","derived":"Computed from observed data through a documented method.","reported":"Published by the operator. We repeat it, we do not verify it.","estimate":"Model output carrying assumptions. Always a range."},"games":[{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"Moonstone Blackjack","provider":"unknown","bets":723,"observed_return":0.9319268822102218,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.03348836003336764,"ci95":[0.8662896965448212,0.9975640678756224],"max_multiplier":6.473684210526316,"confidence":"low","margin":0.06563718566540057,"publishable":true,"withheld":null,"diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-25","to":"2026-11-01"},"published_loss_share":0.5518672199170125,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Roobet","game":"ONE Blackjack","provider":"pragmatic play","bets":396,"observed_return":1.0087073263801651,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.04830144318569777,"ci95":[0.9140364977361976,1.1033781550241328],"max_multiplier":4.2,"confidence":"low","margin":0.09467082864396763,"publishable":false,"withheld":"implausible","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-25","to":"2026-11-01"},"published_loss_share":0.4772727272727273,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"Shuffle ONE Blackjack","provider":"unknown","bets":377,"observed_return":0.9866016842928034,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.03629790381033124,"ci95":[0.9154577928245542,1.0577455757610525],"max_multiplier":4.090566037735849,"confidence":"low","margin":0.07114389146824923,"publishable":true,"withheld":null,"diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-25","to":"2026-11-01"},"published_loss_share":0.5490716180371353,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Winna","game":"Moonstone Blackjack","provider":"evolution","bets":119,"observed_return":1.5167889915966388,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.06718190746246948,"ci95":[1.3851124529701986,1.648465530223079],"max_multiplier":2.79612,"confidence":"low","margin":0.1316765386264402,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-25","to":"2026-11-01"},"published_loss_share":0.19327731092436976,"feed_bias":"curated","observed_return_note":"This feed publishes more wins than it publishes losses, proven by an observed return above 100%. Read it as a floor on the operator's curation, not as the game's return.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}}]}