{"window_days":7,"from":"2026-09-11","games_returned":15,"games_withheld_below_min_bets":48,"min_bets":100,"method":{"estimator":"mean payout multiplier, currency independent","interval":"95%, mean plus or minus 1.96 standard errors","source":"each casino's own public bet feed, captured by us","sampling":"the feeds are rolling windows the operators publish; this is a sample of their flow, not the whole of it, and the selection rule is not visible to us","declared_rtp":"only Stake.com publishes a house edge, so declared_rtp and gap are null for other operators","selection_bias":"the feeds are the operators' own marketing surfaces and the selection leans toward winning rounds, so observed_return is UNCORRECTED and biased upward by an unknown amount that differs per operator. feed_bias reports 'curated' where an observed return above 100% proves the feed is incomplete, since no game returns more than it takes over the long run."},"confidence_levels":{"high":">=10000 bets","moderate":">=1000","low":">=100","insufficient":"<100"},"publishable":["low","moderate","high"],"source_kinds":{"observed":"Counted directly from the operator's public feed.","derived":"Computed from observed data through a documented method.","reported":"Published by the operator. We repeat it, we do not verify it.","estimate":"Model output carrying assumptions. Always a range."},"games":[{"casino":"Winna","game":"Plinko","provider":"internal house games","bets":82789,"observed_return":3.527808042131202,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.07387437599837192,"ci95":[3.383014265174393,3.672601819088011],"max_multiplier":2000,"confidence":"high","margin":0.14479377695680895,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-11","to":"2026-09-18"},"published_loss_share":0.3102344514367851,"feed_bias":"curated","observed_return_note":"This feed publishes more wins than it publishes losses, proven by an observed return above 100%. Read it as a floor on the operator's curation, not as the game's return.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"Plinko","provider":"unknown","bets":24928,"observed_return":1.0301548459563545,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.03385340948176553,"ci95":[0.9638021633720941,1.096507528540615],"max_multiplier":620,"confidence":"high","margin":0.06635268258426044,"publishable":false,"withheld":"implausible","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-11","to":"2026-09-18"},"published_loss_share":0.7143372913992297,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"Plinko","provider":"cloudbet","bets":8443,"observed_return":0.9305260068886332,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.026333366477945843,"ci95":[0.8789126085918594,0.982139405185407],"max_multiplier":143.0000000000008,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.05161339829677385,"publishable":true,"withheld":null,"diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-11","to":"2026-09-18"},"published_loss_share":0.7476015634253228,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Stake.com","game":"plinko","provider":"stake","bets":8013,"observed_return":10.937239485835516,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":1.9685506725137545,"ci95":[7.078880167708557,14.795598803962474],"max_multiplier":10000,"confidence":"moderate","margin":3.8583593181269586,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-11","to":"2026-09-14"},"published_loss_share":0.5864220641457631,"feed_bias":"curated","observed_return_note":"This feed publishes more wins than it publishes losses, proven by an observed return above 100%. Read it as a floor on the operator's curation, not as the game's return.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"BC.Game","game":"Plinko","provider":"bc originals","bets":2634,"observed_return":0.9820323002614386,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.09692784044186807,"ci95":[0.7920537329953772,1.1720108675275],"max_multiplier":162,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.1899785672660614,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-11","to":"2026-09-18"},"published_loss_share":0.7661351556567958,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"Plinko","provider":"hacksaw","bets":2395,"observed_return":0.8607933194154488,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.02034610801860123,"ci95":[0.8209149476989904,0.9006716911319071],"max_multiplier":32,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.03987837171645841,"publishable":true,"withheld":null,"diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-12","to":"2026-09-17"},"published_loss_share":0.8025052192066806,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. 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The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"Plinko+","provider":"pragmatic play","bets":1612,"observed_return":1.0010732009925558,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.13278177003163658,"ci95":[0.7408209317305481,1.2613254702545635],"max_multiplier":200.70000000000005,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.2602522692620077,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-17"},"published_loss_share":0.771712158808933,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"Plinko","provider":"spribe","bets":933,"observed_return":0.9058949624866024,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.07606763539330358,"ci95":[0.7568023971157274,1.0549875278574774],"max_multiplier":49,"confidence":"low","margin":0.149092565370875,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-11","to":"2026-09-17"},"published_loss_share":0.7920685959271169,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"Plinko 2","provider":"bgaming","bets":272,"observed_return":0.8595588235294129,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.06939430969957143,"ci95":[0.7235459765182529,0.9955716705405729],"max_multiplier":15,"confidence":"low","margin":0.13601284701116,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-11","to":"2026-09-17"},"published_loss_share":0.7867647058823529,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"Pine Of Plinko 2","provider":"print studios","bets":186,"observed_return":0.038440860215053566,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.010796480513869737,"ci95":[0.01727975840786888,0.05960196202223825],"max_multiplier":1.1,"confidence":"low","margin":0.021161101807184685,"publishable":false,"withheld":"implausible","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-11","to":"2026-09-17"},"published_loss_share":0.989247311827957,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Roobet","game":"Pine Of Plinko 2","provider":"relax gaming","bets":171,"observed_return":0.9066875925429247,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.5579355955974264,"ci95":[-0.18686617482803114,2.000241359913881],"max_multiplier":90.8,"confidence":"low","margin":1.0935537673709559,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-11","to":"2026-09-18"},"published_loss_share":0.935672514619883,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"Plinko 2 Halloween","provider":"unknown","bets":146,"observed_return":0.9680365296803644,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.05259485797624418,"ci95":[0.8649506080469258,1.071122451313803],"max_multiplier":4,"confidence":"low","margin":0.10308592163343859,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-11","to":"2026-09-18"},"published_loss_share":0.6438356164383562,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Roobet","game":"Triple Pot Plinko - Hercules","provider":"pragmatic play","bets":101,"observed_return":0.8059405940594058,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.47774472176975574,"ci95":[-0.13043906060931543,1.7423202487281269],"max_multiplier":47.99999999999999,"confidence":"low","margin":0.9363796546687212,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-11","to":"2026-09-17"},"published_loss_share":0.8811881188118812,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"BC.Game","game":"Plinkoman","provider":"galaxsys","bets":100,"observed_return":0.7859999735850981,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.06915229868803542,"ci95":[0.6504614681565487,0.9215384790136475],"max_multiplier":4.000000006,"confidence":"low","margin":0.13553850542854942,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-11","to":"2026-09-18"},"published_loss_share":0.54,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}}]}