{"window_days":7,"from":"2026-10-16","games_returned":4,"games_withheld_below_min_bets":1,"min_bets":100,"method":{"estimator":"mean payout multiplier, currency independent","interval":"95%, mean plus or minus 1.96 standard errors","source":"each casino's own public bet feed, captured by us","sampling":"the feeds are rolling windows the operators publish; this is a sample of their flow, not the whole of it, and the selection rule is not visible to us","declared_rtp":"only Stake.com publishes a house edge, so declared_rtp and gap are null for other operators","selection_bias":"the feeds are the operators' own marketing surfaces and the selection leans toward winning rounds, so observed_return is UNCORRECTED and biased upward by an unknown amount that differs per operator. feed_bias reports 'curated' where an observed return above 100% proves the feed is incomplete, since no game returns more than it takes over the long run."},"confidence_levels":{"high":">=10000 bets","moderate":">=1000","low":">=100","insufficient":"<100"},"publishable":["low","moderate","high"],"source_kinds":{"observed":"Counted directly from the operator's public feed.","derived":"Computed from observed data through a documented method.","reported":"Published by the operator. We repeat it, we do not verify it.","estimate":"Model output carrying assumptions. Always a range."},"games":[{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"Pray for Three","provider":"hacksaw","bets":1139,"observed_return":0.5571241830065359,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.09343628097997952,"ci95":[0.37398907228577605,0.7402592937272957],"max_multiplier":71.2,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.18313511072075986,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-17","to":"2026-10-20"},"published_loss_share":0.8955223880597015,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Winna","game":"Pray for Three","provider":"hacksaw","bets":348,"observed_return":1.9874183620689654,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.37927622406201744,"ci95":[1.244036962907411,2.7307997612305197],"max_multiplier":75.6,"confidence":"low","margin":0.7433813991615542,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-16","to":"2026-10-23"},"published_loss_share":0.6666666666666666,"feed_bias":"curated","observed_return_note":"This feed publishes more wins than it publishes losses, proven by an observed return above 100%. Read it as a floor on the operator's curation, not as the game's return.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Roobet","game":"Pray for Three","provider":"hacksaw","bets":325,"observed_return":0.430336171433413,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.15385137889831285,"ci95":[0.12878746879271985,0.7318848740741062],"max_multiplier":45,"confidence":"low","margin":0.30154870264069317,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-16","to":"2026-10-22"},"published_loss_share":0.916923076923077,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Yeet","game":"Pray for Three","provider":"hacksaw","bets":298,"observed_return":0.8103351685127453,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.29391049755784177,"ci95":[0.2342705932993755,1.3863997437261153],"max_multiplier":75.5,"confidence":"low","margin":0.5760645752133698,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-16","to":"2026-10-21"},"published_loss_share":0.9093959731543624,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}}]}