{"window_days":7,"from":"2026-10-14","games_returned":2,"games_withheld_below_min_bets":5,"min_bets":100,"method":{"estimator":"mean payout multiplier, currency independent","interval":"95%, mean plus or minus 1.96 standard errors","source":"each casino's own public bet feed, captured by us","sampling":"the feeds are rolling windows the operators publish; this is a sample of their flow, not the whole of it, and the selection rule is not visible to us","declared_rtp":"only Stake.com publishes a house edge, so declared_rtp and gap are null for other operators","selection_bias":"the feeds are the operators' own marketing surfaces and the selection leans toward winning rounds, so observed_return is UNCORRECTED and biased upward by an unknown amount that differs per operator. feed_bias reports 'curated' where an observed return above 100% proves the feed is incomplete, since no game returns more than it takes over the long run."},"confidence_levels":{"high":">=10000 bets","moderate":">=1000","low":">=100","insufficient":"<100"},"publishable":["low","moderate","high"],"source_kinds":{"observed":"Counted directly from the operator's public feed.","derived":"Computed from observed data through a documented method.","reported":"Published by the operator. We repeat it, we do not verify it.","estimate":"Model output carrying assumptions. Always a range."},"games":[{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"Pump","provider":"cloudbet","bets":12321,"observed_return":1.0264863992846032,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.018812094740820056,"ci95":[0.9896146935925959,1.0633581049766105],"max_multiplier":41.6,"confidence":"high","margin":0.03687170569200731,"publishable":false,"withheld":"implausible","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-14","to":"2026-10-21"},"published_loss_share":0.5295836376917458,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Winna","game":"Crack the Pumpkin Bank","provider":"penguin king","bets":126,"observed_return":3.2380949999999995,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.7196876704447795,"ci95":[1.8275071659282316,4.648682834071767],"max_multiplier":67.85714,"confidence":"low","margin":1.410587834071768,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-14","to":"2026-10-21"},"published_loss_share":0.5396825396825397,"feed_bias":"curated","observed_return_note":"This feed publishes more wins than it publishes losses, proven by an observed return above 100%. Read it as a floor on the operator's curation, not as the game's return.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}}]}