{"window_days":7,"from":"2026-09-30","games_returned":3,"games_withheld_below_min_bets":0,"min_bets":100,"method":{"estimator":"mean payout multiplier, currency independent","interval":"95%, mean plus or minus 1.96 standard errors","source":"each casino's own public bet feed, captured by us","sampling":"the feeds are rolling windows the operators publish; this is a sample of their flow, not the whole of it, and the selection rule is not visible to us","declared_rtp":"only Stake.com publishes a house edge, so declared_rtp and gap are null for other operators","selection_bias":"the feeds are the operators' own marketing surfaces and the selection leans toward winning rounds, so observed_return is UNCORRECTED and biased upward by an unknown amount that differs per operator. feed_bias reports 'curated' where an observed return above 100% proves the feed is incomplete, since no game returns more than it takes over the long run."},"confidence_levels":{"high":">=10000 bets","moderate":">=1000","low":">=100","insufficient":"<100"},"publishable":["low","moderate","high"],"source_kinds":{"observed":"Counted directly from the operator's public feed.","derived":"Computed from observed data through a documented method.","reported":"Published by the operator. We repeat it, we do not verify it.","estimate":"Model output carrying assumptions. Always a range."},"games":[{"casino":"Roobet","game":"Rich Wilde and the Tome of Insanity","provider":"play n go","bets":1582,"observed_return":0.6595548691145482,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.14203118399520376,"ci95":[0.3811737484839488,0.9379359897451476],"max_multiplier":172.51572064945876,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.2783811206305994,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-30","to":"2026-10-07"},"published_loss_share":0.9190897597977244,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"Rich Wilde and the Tome of Insanity","provider":"play n go","bets":1038,"observed_return":0.11473988439306358,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.03372865913410311,"ci95":[0.04863171249022148,0.18084805629590567],"max_multiplier":32.6,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.0661081719028421,"publishable":false,"withheld":"implausible","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-01","to":"2026-10-07"},"published_loss_share":0.976878612716763,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Winna","game":"Rich Wilde and the Tome of Insanity","provider":"play n go","bets":403,"observed_return":2.0481347642679903,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.6531734956140675,"ci95":[0.7679147128644181,3.3283548156715623],"max_multiplier":238.49999,"confidence":"low","margin":1.2802200514035722,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-30","to":"2026-10-07"},"published_loss_share":0.7146401985111662,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}}]}