{"window_days":7,"from":"2026-09-07","games_returned":6,"games_withheld_below_min_bets":0,"min_bets":100,"method":{"estimator":"mean payout multiplier, currency independent","interval":"95%, mean plus or minus 1.96 standard errors","source":"each casino's own public bet feed, captured by us","sampling":"the feeds are rolling windows the operators publish; this is a sample of their flow, not the whole of it, and the selection rule is not visible to us","declared_rtp":"only Stake.com publishes a house edge, so declared_rtp and gap are null for other operators","selection_bias":"the feeds are the operators' own marketing surfaces and the selection leans toward winning rounds, so observed_return is UNCORRECTED and biased upward by an unknown amount that differs per operator. feed_bias reports 'curated' where an observed return above 100% proves the feed is incomplete, since no game returns more than it takes over the long run."},"confidence_levels":{"high":">=10000 bets","moderate":">=1000","low":">=100","insufficient":"<100"},"publishable":["low","moderate","high"],"source_kinds":{"observed":"Counted directly from the operator's public feed.","derived":"Computed from observed data through a documented method.","reported":"Published by the operator. We repeat it, we do not verify it.","estimate":"Model output carrying assumptions. Always a range."},"games":[{"casino":"Roobet","game":"Soaked By Seamen","provider":"unknown","bets":5770,"observed_return":1.2889965439966637,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.17968537732900897,"ci95":[0.9368132044318062,1.6411798835615214],"max_multiplier":415.88,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.3521833395648576,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-07","to":"2026-09-14"},"published_loss_share":0.9185441941074524,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"Soaked by Seamen","provider":"nolimit city","bets":1791,"observed_return":0.07350881385039677,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.010295665624775498,"ci95":[0.0533293092258368,0.09368831847495675],"max_multiplier":9.6,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.020179504624559974,"publishable":false,"withheld":"implausible","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-07","to":"2026-09-14"},"published_loss_share":0.9782244556113903,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"Soaked By Seamen","provider":"unknown","bets":1547,"observed_return":0.8575167504631731,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.10107433630988333,"ci95":[0.6594110512958018,1.0556224496305444],"max_multiplier":88.71625,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.1981056991673713,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-07","to":"2026-09-14"},"published_loss_share":0.865546218487395,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Winna","game":"Soaked By Seamen","provider":"nolimit city","bets":675,"observed_return":3.4563498666666663,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.6953473582406903,"ci95":[2.0934690445149133,4.819230688818419],"max_multiplier":320.90006,"confidence":"low","margin":1.362880822151753,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-07","to":"2026-09-14"},"published_loss_share":0.6503703703703704,"feed_bias":"curated","observed_return_note":"This feed publishes more wins than it publishes losses, proven by an observed return above 100%. Read it as a floor on the operator's curation, not as the game's return.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Stake.com","game":"Soaked By Seamen","provider":"nolimit city","bets":378,"observed_return":10.659566272486773,"declared_rtp":0.9604,"gap":9.699166272486773,"std_error":2.814518447392495,"ci95":[5.143110115597482,16.17602242937606],"max_multiplier":714.988889,"confidence":"low","margin":5.516456156889291,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-07","to":"2026-09-14"},"published_loss_share":0.7248677248677249,"feed_bias":"curated","observed_return_note":"This feed publishes more wins than it publishes losses, proven by an observed return above 100%. Read it as a floor on the operator's curation, not as the game's return.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":"reported","gap":"derived"}},{"casino":"BC.Game","game":"Soaked By Seamen","provider":"nolimitcity","bets":211,"observed_return":0.8133810466318937,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.3958991471884786,"ci95":[0.03741871814247566,1.5893433751213117],"max_multiplier":76.0502399787819,"confidence":"low","margin":0.775962328489418,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-07","to":"2026-09-14"},"published_loss_share":0.919431279620853,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}}]}