{"window_days":7,"from":"2026-10-26","games_returned":3,"games_withheld_below_min_bets":0,"min_bets":100,"method":{"estimator":"mean payout multiplier, currency independent","interval":"95%, mean plus or minus 1.96 standard errors","source":"each casino's own public bet feed, captured by us","sampling":"the feeds are rolling windows the operators publish; this is a sample of their flow, not the whole of it, and the selection rule is not visible to us","declared_rtp":"only Stake.com publishes a house edge, so declared_rtp and gap are null for other operators","selection_bias":"the feeds are the operators' own marketing surfaces and the selection leans toward winning rounds, so observed_return is UNCORRECTED and biased upward by an unknown amount that differs per operator. feed_bias reports 'curated' where an observed return above 100% proves the feed is incomplete, since no game returns more than it takes over the long run."},"confidence_levels":{"high":">=10000 bets","moderate":">=1000","low":">=100","insufficient":"<100"},"publishable":["low","moderate","high"],"source_kinds":{"observed":"Counted directly from the operator's public feed.","derived":"Computed from observed data through a documented method.","reported":"Published by the operator. We repeat it, we do not verify it.","estimate":"Model output carrying assumptions. Always a range."},"games":[{"casino":"Roobet","game":"Soaked By Seamen","provider":"unknown","bets":7367,"observed_return":0.854652872949757,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.10060181679849149,"ci95":[0.6574733120247137,1.0518324338748004],"max_multiplier":420.56,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.19717956092504332,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-26","to":"2026-11-02"},"published_loss_share":0.9176055382109407,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"Soaked By Seamen","provider":"unknown","bets":1452,"observed_return":0.8008673235838965,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.09502594849541841,"ci95":[0.6146164645328763,0.9871181826349166],"max_multiplier":75.00000000000001,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.1862508590510201,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-26","to":"2026-11-02"},"published_loss_share":0.8650137741046832,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Winna","game":"Soaked By Seamen","provider":"nolimit city","bets":599,"observed_return":1.5584828714524208,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.17089022748841712,"ci95":[1.2235380255751234,1.8934277173297183],"max_multiplier":42.29964,"confidence":"low","margin":0.33494484587729756,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-26","to":"2026-11-02"},"published_loss_share":0.6978297161936561,"feed_bias":"curated","observed_return_note":"This feed publishes more wins than it publishes losses, proven by an observed return above 100%. Read it as a floor on the operator's curation, not as the game's return.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}}]}