{"window_days":7,"from":"2026-10-06","games_returned":6,"games_withheld_below_min_bets":11,"min_bets":100,"method":{"estimator":"mean payout multiplier, currency independent","interval":"95%, mean plus or minus 1.96 standard errors","source":"each casino's own public bet feed, captured by us","sampling":"the feeds are rolling windows the operators publish; this is a sample of their flow, not the whole of it, and the selection rule is not visible to us","declared_rtp":"only Stake.com publishes a house edge, so declared_rtp and gap are null for other operators","selection_bias":"the feeds are the operators' own marketing surfaces and the selection leans toward winning rounds, so observed_return is UNCORRECTED and biased upward by an unknown amount that differs per operator. feed_bias reports 'curated' where an observed return above 100% proves the feed is incomplete, since no game returns more than it takes over the long run."},"confidence_levels":{"high":">=10000 bets","moderate":">=1000","low":">=100","insufficient":"<100"},"publishable":["low","moderate","high"],"source_kinds":{"observed":"Counted directly from the operator's public feed.","derived":"Computed from observed data through a documented method.","reported":"Published by the operator. We repeat it, we do not verify it.","estimate":"Model output carrying assumptions. Always a range."},"games":[{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"Speed Baccarat A","provider":"unknown","bets":1285,"observed_return":1.0107133990701207,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.026216515239516527,"ci95":[0.9593290292006683,1.0620977689395732],"max_multiplier":4.9411764705882355,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.05138436986945239,"publishable":false,"withheld":"implausible","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-06","to":"2026-10-13"},"published_loss_share":0.45058365758754865,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Yeet","game":"Speed Baccarat A","provider":"evolution","bets":508,"observed_return":0.9884543157361881,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.04179202823572923,"ci95":[0.9065419403941588,1.0703666910782175],"max_multiplier":2.8000000000000003,"confidence":"low","margin":0.08191237534202929,"publishable":true,"withheld":null,"diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-06","to":"2026-10-13"},"published_loss_share":0.4566929133858268,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Roobet","game":"Speed Baccarat A","provider":"unknown","bets":472,"observed_return":0.9360455005678355,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.04483617762902685,"ci95":[0.8481665924149429,1.0239244087207282],"max_multiplier":4.428571428571429,"confidence":"low","margin":0.08787890815289262,"publishable":true,"withheld":null,"diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-06","to":"2026-10-13"},"published_loss_share":0.4915254237288136,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"Japanese Speed Baccarat A","provider":"unknown","bets":209,"observed_return":0.9445146569908088,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.06466496918944362,"ci95":[0.8177713173794994,1.0712579966021183],"max_multiplier":3.9000000000000044,"confidence":"low","margin":0.12674333961130949,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-06","to":"2026-10-13"},"published_loss_share":0.5023923444976076,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Winna","game":"Speed Baccarat A","provider":"evolution","bets":196,"observed_return":1.6383772959183676,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.058174361681776275,"ci95":[1.524355547022086,1.7523990448146491],"max_multiplier":4,"confidence":"low","margin":0.1140217488962815,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-06","to":"2026-10-13"},"published_loss_share":0.16326530612244897,"feed_bias":"curated","observed_return_note":"This feed publishes more wins than it publishes losses, proven by an observed return above 100%. Read it as a floor on the operator's curation, not as the game's return.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"Emperor Speed Baccarat A","provider":"unknown","bets":116,"observed_return":1.0823101893875793,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.08800908397596387,"ci95":[0.9098123847946901,1.2548079939804684],"max_multiplier":2,"confidence":"low","margin":0.1724978045928892,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-10-06","to":"2026-10-13"},"published_loss_share":0.4224137931034483,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}}]}