{"window_days":7,"from":"2026-08-07","games_returned":2,"games_withheld_below_min_bets":4,"min_bets":100,"method":{"estimator":"mean payout multiplier, currency independent","interval":"95%, mean plus or minus 1.96 standard errors","source":"each casino's own public bet feed, captured by us","sampling":"the feeds are rolling windows the operators publish; this is a sample of their flow, not the whole of it, and the selection rule is not visible to us","declared_rtp":"only Stake.com publishes a house edge, so declared_rtp and gap are null for other operators","selection_bias":"the feeds are the operators' own marketing surfaces and the selection leans toward winning rounds, so observed_return is UNCORRECTED and biased upward by an unknown amount that differs per operator. feed_bias reports 'curated' where an observed return above 100% proves the feed is incomplete, since no game returns more than it takes over the long run."},"confidence_levels":{"high":">=10000 bets","moderate":">=1000","low":">=100","insufficient":"<100"},"publishable":["low","moderate","high"],"source_kinds":{"observed":"Counted directly from the operator's public feed.","derived":"Computed from observed data through a documented method.","reported":"Published by the operator. We repeat it, we do not verify it.","estimate":"Model output carrying assumptions. Always a range."},"games":[{"casino":"Winna","game":"Dynasty Speed Baccarat 14","provider":"evolution","bets":168,"observed_return":1.7502976190476194,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.11304464487387329,"ci95":[1.5287301150948278,1.971865123000411],"max_multiplier":10,"confidence":"low","margin":0.22156750395279165,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-08-07","to":"2026-08-13"},"published_loss_share":0.16071428571428573,"feed_bias":"curated","observed_return_note":"This feed publishes more wins than it publishes losses, proven by an observed return above 100%. Read it as a floor on the operator's curation, not as the game's return.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"Speed Baccarat 14","provider":"unknown","bets":166,"observed_return":0.9459287405482973,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.07244353239004797,"ci95":[0.8039394170638033,1.0879180640327915],"max_multiplier":2.5833333333333335,"confidence":"low","margin":0.14198932348449403,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-08-07","to":"2026-08-14"},"published_loss_share":0.4879518072289157,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}}]}