{"window_days":7,"from":"2026-09-10","games_returned":3,"games_withheld_below_min_bets":36,"min_bets":100,"method":{"estimator":"mean payout multiplier, currency independent","interval":"95%, mean plus or minus 1.96 standard errors","source":"each casino's own public bet feed, captured by us","sampling":"the feeds are rolling windows the operators publish; this is a sample of their flow, not the whole of it, and the selection rule is not visible to us","declared_rtp":"only Stake.com publishes a house edge, so declared_rtp and gap are null for other operators","selection_bias":"the feeds are the operators' own marketing surfaces and the selection leans toward winning rounds, so observed_return is UNCORRECTED and biased upward by an unknown amount that differs per operator. feed_bias reports 'curated' where an observed return above 100% proves the feed is incomplete, since no game returns more than it takes over the long run."},"confidence_levels":{"high":">=10000 bets","moderate":">=1000","low":">=100","insufficient":"<100"},"publishable":["low","moderate","high"],"source_kinds":{"observed":"Counted directly from the operator's public feed.","derived":"Computed from observed data through a documented method.","reported":"Published by the operator. We repeat it, we do not verify it.","estimate":"Model output carrying assumptions. Always a range."},"games":[{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"No Comm Speed Baccarat 2","provider":"unknown","bets":166,"observed_return":1.0042793967319659,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.07504204223455176,"ci95":[0.8571969939522445,1.1513617995116874],"max_multiplier":4,"confidence":"low","margin":0.14708240277972143,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-10","to":"2026-09-17"},"published_loss_share":0.45180722891566266,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"Japanese Speed Baccarat 2","provider":"unknown","bets":136,"observed_return":0.9116820874079172,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.0844885292117725,"ci95":[0.7460845701528431,1.0772796046629913],"max_multiplier":4.8125,"confidence":"low","margin":0.1655975172550741,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-10","to":"2026-09-17"},"published_loss_share":0.5220588235294118,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Stake.com","game":"Speed Baccarat 2","provider":"pragmatic play","bets":136,"observed_return":0.8872058823529412,"declared_rtp":0.9894,"gap":-0.10219411764705877,"std_error":0.07892406691780346,"ci95":[0.7325147111940464,1.041897053511836],"max_multiplier":2.38,"confidence":"low","margin":0.15469117115889477,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-10","to":"2026-09-14"},"published_loss_share":0.49264705882352944,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":"reported","gap":"derived"}}]}