{"window_days":7,"from":"2026-08-15","games_returned":3,"games_withheld_below_min_bets":19,"min_bets":100,"method":{"estimator":"mean payout multiplier, currency independent","interval":"95%, mean plus or minus 1.96 standard errors","source":"each casino's own public bet feed, captured by us","sampling":"the feeds are rolling windows the operators publish; this is a sample of their flow, not the whole of it, and the selection rule is not visible to us","declared_rtp":"only Stake.com publishes a house edge, so declared_rtp and gap are null for other operators","selection_bias":"the feeds are the operators' own marketing surfaces and the selection leans toward winning rounds, so observed_return is UNCORRECTED and biased upward by an unknown amount that differs per operator. feed_bias reports 'curated' where an observed return above 100% proves the feed is incomplete, since no game returns more than it takes over the long run."},"confidence_levels":{"high":">=10000 bets","moderate":">=1000","low":">=100","insufficient":"<100"},"publishable":["low","moderate","high"],"source_kinds":{"observed":"Counted directly from the operator's public feed.","derived":"Computed from observed data through a documented method.","reported":"Published by the operator. We repeat it, we do not verify it.","estimate":"Model output carrying assumptions. Always a range."},"games":[{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"Chinese Speed Baccarat 3","provider":"unknown","bets":193,"observed_return":0.8712509364353247,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.06823619663250145,"ci95":[0.7375079910356218,1.0049938818350275],"max_multiplier":2.5707762557077625,"confidence":"low","margin":0.13374294539970286,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-08-15","to":"2026-08-22"},"published_loss_share":0.538860103626943,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"Japanese Speed Baccarat 3","provider":"unknown","bets":150,"observed_return":1.0957833758898936,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.07416998068404576,"ci95":[0.9504102137491639,1.2411565380306233],"max_multiplier":2.217391304347826,"confidence":"low","margin":0.14537316214072968,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-08-15","to":"2026-08-21"},"published_loss_share":0.4066666666666667,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"Korean Speed Baccarat 3","provider":"unknown","bets":124,"observed_return":0.9504449388209121,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.08730896684828443,"ci95":[0.7793193637982746,1.1215705138435497],"max_multiplier":4.285714285714286,"confidence":"low","margin":0.17112557502263748,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-08-15","to":"2026-08-21"},"published_loss_share":0.47580645161290325,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}}]}