{"window_days":7,"from":"2026-09-08","games_returned":5,"games_withheld_below_min_bets":13,"min_bets":100,"method":{"estimator":"mean payout multiplier, currency independent","interval":"95%, mean plus or minus 1.96 standard errors","source":"each casino's own public bet feed, captured by us","sampling":"the feeds are rolling windows the operators publish; this is a sample of their flow, not the whole of it, and the selection rule is not visible to us","declared_rtp":"only Stake.com publishes a house edge, so declared_rtp and gap are null for other operators","selection_bias":"the feeds are the operators' own marketing surfaces and the selection leans toward winning rounds, so observed_return is UNCORRECTED and biased upward by an unknown amount that differs per operator. feed_bias reports 'curated' where an observed return above 100% proves the feed is incomplete, since no game returns more than it takes over the long run."},"confidence_levels":{"high":">=10000 bets","moderate":">=1000","low":">=100","insufficient":"<100"},"publishable":["low","moderate","high"],"source_kinds":{"observed":"Counted directly from the operator's public feed.","derived":"Computed from observed data through a documented method.","reported":"Published by the operator. We repeat it, we do not verify it.","estimate":"Model output carrying assumptions. Always a range."},"games":[{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"Speed Baccarat A","provider":"unknown","bets":755,"observed_return":0.9324476752507872,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.034885802685820436,"ci95":[0.8640715019865791,1.0008238485149952],"max_multiplier":4.68,"confidence":"low","margin":0.06837617326420806,"publishable":true,"withheld":null,"diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-08","to":"2026-09-14"},"published_loss_share":0.4966887417218543,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Stake.com","game":"Speed Baccarat A","provider":"evolution","bets":607,"observed_return":1.0222171894563428,"declared_rtp":0.9894,"gap":0.03281718945634282,"std_error":0.043805896651528835,"ci95":[0.9363576320193463,1.1080767468933392],"max_multiplier":9,"confidence":"low","margin":0.08585955743699651,"publishable":false,"withheld":"implausible","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-08","to":"2026-09-14"},"published_loss_share":0.4596375617792422,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":"reported","gap":"derived"}},{"casino":"Roobet","game":"Speed Baccarat A","provider":"unknown","bets":376,"observed_return":0.924005831992643,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.04961149162824978,"ci95":[0.8267673084012734,1.0212443555840125],"max_multiplier":5.1899999999999995,"confidence":"low","margin":0.09723852359136957,"publishable":true,"withheld":null,"diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-08","to":"2026-09-14"},"published_loss_share":0.4920212765957447,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Winna","game":"Speed Baccarat A","provider":"evolution","bets":266,"observed_return":1.5016331954887219,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.050958624919050274,"ci95":[1.4017542906473834,1.6015121003300603],"max_multiplier":2.52632,"confidence":"low","margin":0.09987890484133853,"publishable":false,"withheld":"implausible","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-08","to":"2026-09-13"},"published_loss_share":0.22932330827067668,"feed_bias":"curated","observed_return_note":"This feed publishes more wins than it publishes losses, proven by an observed return above 100%. Read it as a floor on the operator's curation, not as the game's return.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"Japanese Speed Baccarat A","provider":"unknown","bets":185,"observed_return":1.0433383183364908,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.06897388642205067,"ci95":[0.9081495009492715,1.1785271357237102],"max_multiplier":3.0159362549800797,"confidence":"low","margin":0.1351888173872193,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-08","to":"2026-09-14"},"published_loss_share":0.4540540540540541,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}}]}