{"window_days":7,"from":"2026-08-11","games_returned":1,"games_withheld_below_min_bets":0,"min_bets":100,"method":{"estimator":"mean payout multiplier, currency independent","interval":"95%, mean plus or minus 1.96 standard errors","source":"each casino's own public bet feed, captured by us","sampling":"the feeds are rolling windows the operators publish; this is a sample of their flow, not the whole of it, and the selection rule is not visible to us","declared_rtp":"only Stake.com publishes a house edge, so declared_rtp and gap are null for other operators","selection_bias":"the feeds are the operators' own marketing surfaces and the selection leans toward winning rounds, so observed_return is UNCORRECTED and biased upward by an unknown amount that differs per operator. feed_bias reports 'curated' where an observed return above 100% proves the feed is incomplete, since no game returns more than it takes over the long run."},"confidence_levels":{"high":">=10000 bets","moderate":">=1000","low":">=100","insufficient":"<100"},"publishable":["low","moderate","high"],"source_kinds":{"observed":"Counted directly from the operator's public feed.","derived":"Computed from observed data through a documented method.","reported":"Published by the operator. We repeat it, we do not verify it.","estimate":"Model output carrying assumptions. Always a range."},"games":[{"casino":"Stake.com","game":"Stake Exclusive Blackjack 25","provider":"evolution","bets":194,"observed_return":0.9444417164948454,"declared_rtp":0.993,"gap":-0.048558283505154565,"std_error":0.07272058056758779,"ci95":[0.8019093785823734,1.0869740544073174],"max_multiplier":5.142857,"confidence":"low","margin":0.14253233791247205,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-08-11","to":"2026-08-17"},"published_loss_share":0.5618556701030928,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":"reported","gap":"derived"}}]}