{"window_days":7,"from":"2026-09-14","games_returned":5,"games_withheld_below_min_bets":4,"min_bets":100,"method":{"estimator":"mean payout multiplier, currency independent","interval":"95%, mean plus or minus 1.96 standard errors","source":"each casino's own public bet feed, captured by us","sampling":"the feeds are rolling windows the operators publish; this is a sample of their flow, not the whole of it, and the selection rule is not visible to us","declared_rtp":"only Stake.com publishes a house edge, so declared_rtp and gap are null for other operators","selection_bias":"the feeds are the operators' own marketing surfaces and the selection leans toward winning rounds, so observed_return is UNCORRECTED and biased upward by an unknown amount that differs per operator. feed_bias reports 'curated' where an observed return above 100% proves the feed is incomplete, since no game returns more than it takes over the long run."},"confidence_levels":{"high":">=10000 bets","moderate":">=1000","low":">=100","insufficient":"<100"},"publishable":["low","moderate","high"],"source_kinds":{"observed":"Counted directly from the operator's public feed.","derived":"Computed from observed data through a documented method.","reported":"Published by the operator. We repeat it, we do not verify it.","estimate":"Model output carrying assumptions. Always a range."},"games":[{"casino":"Roobet","game":"Starlight Princess 1000","provider":"pragmatic play","bets":2735,"observed_return":1.1936852245669005,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.3582056535555357,"ci95":[0.49160214359805054,1.8957683055357504],"max_multiplier":753.32,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.70208308096885,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.8859232175502743,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"Starlight Princess 1000","provider":"pragmatic play","bets":2714,"observed_return":0.40003316138542167,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.06626485096507807,"ci95":[0.2701540534938687,0.5299122692769747],"max_multiplier":134.40000000003425,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.12987910789155302,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.9263080324244657,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"Starlight Princess 1000","provider":"unknown","bets":915,"observed_return":0.9196972677595634,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.1741336362032333,"ci95":[0.5783953408012261,1.2609991947179007],"max_multiplier":140.4800000000001,"confidence":"low","margin":0.3413019269583373,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.8043715846994536,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Winna","game":"Starlight Princess 1000","provider":"pragmatic play","bets":500,"observed_return":2.10731376,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.46879618785389177,"ci95":[1.188473231806372,3.0261542881936276],"max_multiplier":187.5,"confidence":"low","margin":0.9188405281936278,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.65,"feed_bias":"curated","observed_return_note":"This feed publishes more wins than it publishes losses, proven by an observed return above 100%. Read it as a floor on the operator's curation, not as the game's return.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"BC.Game","game":"Starlight Princess 1000","provider":"pragmatic play","bets":130,"observed_return":2.1587414299232273,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":1.27738890531099,"ci95":[-0.3449408244863128,4.662423684332767],"max_multiplier":157.3232663832283,"confidence":"low","margin":2.50368225440954,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.8461538461538461,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}}]}