{"window_days":7,"from":"2026-09-08","games_returned":7,"games_withheld_below_min_bets":2,"min_bets":100,"method":{"estimator":"mean payout multiplier, currency independent","interval":"95%, mean plus or minus 1.96 standard errors","source":"each casino's own public bet feed, captured by us","sampling":"the feeds are rolling windows the operators publish; this is a sample of their flow, not the whole of it, and the selection rule is not visible to us","declared_rtp":"only Stake.com publishes a house edge, so declared_rtp and gap are null for other operators","selection_bias":"the feeds are the operators' own marketing surfaces and the selection leans toward winning rounds, so observed_return is UNCORRECTED and biased upward by an unknown amount that differs per operator. feed_bias reports 'curated' where an observed return above 100% proves the feed is incomplete, since no game returns more than it takes over the long run."},"confidence_levels":{"high":">=10000 bets","moderate":">=1000","low":">=100","insufficient":"<100"},"publishable":["low","moderate","high"],"source_kinds":{"observed":"Counted directly from the operator's public feed.","derived":"Computed from observed data through a documented method.","reported":"Published by the operator. We repeat it, we do not verify it.","estimate":"Model output carrying assumptions. Always a range."},"games":[{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"Sugar Rush 1000","provider":"pragmatic play","bets":11282,"observed_return":0.32044850203864605,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.024894633955684194,"ci95":[0.271655019485505,0.3692419845917871],"max_multiplier":241.2,"confidence":"high","margin":0.04879348255314102,"publishable":false,"withheld":"implausible","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-08","to":"2026-09-14"},"published_loss_share":0.9173018968268037,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Roobet","game":"Sugar Rush 1000","provider":"pragmatic play","bets":6276,"observed_return":0.8679641878841329,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.0790389994700203,"ci95":[0.7130477489228931,1.0228806268453727],"max_multiplier":262.6,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.15491643896123977,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-08","to":"2026-09-14"},"published_loss_share":0.8471956660293181,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Stake.com","game":"Sugar Rush 1000","provider":"pragmatic play","bets":2456,"observed_return":14.83962947882736,"declared_rtp":0.9653,"gap":13.87432947882736,"std_error":4.523904235685076,"ci95":[5.9727771768846125,23.70648178077011],"max_multiplier":8939.6,"confidence":"moderate","margin":8.866852301942748,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-08","to":"2026-09-14"},"published_loss_share":0.6604234527687296,"feed_bias":"curated","observed_return_note":"This feed publishes more wins than it publishes losses, proven by an observed return above 100%. Read it as a floor on the operator's curation, not as the game's return.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":"reported","gap":"derived"}},{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"Sugar Rush 1000","provider":"unknown","bets":1538,"observed_return":1.0102823797139142,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.119142506741553,"ci95":[0.7767630665004703,1.243801692927358],"max_multiplier":165.15,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.23351931321344385,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-08","to":"2026-09-14"},"published_loss_share":0.7334200260078023,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Winna","game":"Sugar Rush 1000","provider":"pragmatic play","bets":1417,"observed_return":3.288319195483416,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.7363347945535781,"ci95":[1.845102998158403,4.731535392808429],"max_multiplier":976.65,"confidence":"moderate","margin":1.443216197325013,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-08","to":"2026-09-14"},"published_loss_share":0.4643613267466479,"feed_bias":"curated","observed_return_note":"This feed publishes more wins than it publishes losses, proven by an observed return above 100%. Read it as a floor on the operator's curation, not as the game's return.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"BC.Game","game":"Sugar Rush 1000","provider":"pragmatic play","bets":375,"observed_return":1.0051832711511488,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.2564710034237499,"ci95":[0.502500104440599,1.5078664378616986],"max_multiplier":64.30000078480376,"confidence":"low","margin":0.5026831667105498,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-08","to":"2026-09-14"},"published_loss_share":0.816,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"BC.Game","game":"Sugar Rush 1000","provider":"pragmatic play mexico","bets":105,"observed_return":1.4187238535603552,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.4804699040555444,"ci95":[0.4770028416114882,2.3604448655092223],"max_multiplier":36.1000002695,"confidence":"low","margin":0.941721011948867,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-08","to":"2026-09-14"},"published_loss_share":0.8095238095238095,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}}]}