{"window_days":7,"from":"2026-09-14","games_returned":5,"games_withheld_below_min_bets":4,"min_bets":100,"method":{"estimator":"mean payout multiplier, currency independent","interval":"95%, mean plus or minus 1.96 standard errors","source":"each casino's own public bet feed, captured by us","sampling":"the feeds are rolling windows the operators publish; this is a sample of their flow, not the whole of it, and the selection rule is not visible to us","declared_rtp":"only Stake.com publishes a house edge, so declared_rtp and gap are null for other operators","selection_bias":"the feeds are the operators' own marketing surfaces and the selection leans toward winning rounds, so observed_return is UNCORRECTED and biased upward by an unknown amount that differs per operator. feed_bias reports 'curated' where an observed return above 100% proves the feed is incomplete, since no game returns more than it takes over the long run."},"confidence_levels":{"high":">=10000 bets","moderate":">=1000","low":">=100","insufficient":"<100"},"publishable":["low","moderate","high"],"source_kinds":{"observed":"Counted directly from the operator's public feed.","derived":"Computed from observed data through a documented method.","reported":"Published by the operator. We repeat it, we do not verify it.","estimate":"Model output carrying assumptions. Always a range."},"games":[{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"Sugar Rush Super Scatter","provider":"pragmatic play","bets":15844,"observed_return":0.2612907220398889,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.008854950895792772,"ci95":[0.24393501828413508,0.27864642579564275],"max_multiplier":37.050000000000004,"confidence":"high","margin":0.01735570375575383,"publishable":false,"withheld":"implausible","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.9248295884877556,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Roobet","game":"Sugar Rush Super Scatter","provider":"pragmatic play","bets":4667,"observed_return":0.8941251767921182,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.08538423232731514,"ci95":[0.7267720814305806,1.061478272153656],"max_multiplier":228.35,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.16735309536153767,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.8725091064923934,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"Sugar Rush Super Scatter","provider":"unknown","bets":2692,"observed_return":0.8336306463595851,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.062068458237128504,"ci95":[0.7119764682148132,0.9552848245043569],"max_multiplier":89.63000000000001,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.12165417814477186,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.8060921248142645,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Winna","game":"Sugar Rush Super Scatter","provider":"pragmatic play","bets":1875,"observed_return":2.3580665813333335,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.1695234444500162,"ci95":[2.0258006302113016,2.6903325324553653],"max_multiplier":148.87978,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.3322659511220317,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.6005333333333334,"feed_bias":"curated","observed_return_note":"This feed publishes more wins than it publishes losses, proven by an observed return above 100%. Read it as a floor on the operator's curation, not as the game's return.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"BC.Game","game":"Sugar Rush Super Scatter","provider":"pragmatic play","bets":197,"observed_return":0.9034317187538152,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.219634348202462,"ci95":[0.4729483962769897,1.3339150412306409],"max_multiplier":23.740000859823002,"confidence":"low","margin":0.4304833224768255,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.8578680203045685,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}}]}