{"window_days":7,"from":"2026-09-14","games_returned":6,"games_withheld_below_min_bets":3,"min_bets":100,"method":{"estimator":"mean payout multiplier, currency independent","interval":"95%, mean plus or minus 1.96 standard errors","source":"each casino's own public bet feed, captured by us","sampling":"the feeds are rolling windows the operators publish; this is a sample of their flow, not the whole of it, and the selection rule is not visible to us","declared_rtp":"only Stake.com publishes a house edge, so declared_rtp and gap are null for other operators","selection_bias":"the feeds are the operators' own marketing surfaces and the selection leans toward winning rounds, so observed_return is UNCORRECTED and biased upward by an unknown amount that differs per operator. feed_bias reports 'curated' where an observed return above 100% proves the feed is incomplete, since no game returns more than it takes over the long run."},"confidence_levels":{"high":">=10000 bets","moderate":">=1000","low":">=100","insufficient":"<100"},"publishable":["low","moderate","high"],"source_kinds":{"observed":"Counted directly from the operator's public feed.","derived":"Computed from observed data through a documented method.","reported":"Published by the operator. We repeat it, we do not verify it.","estimate":"Model output carrying assumptions. Always a range."},"games":[{"casino":"Roobet","game":"Sweet Bonanza 1000","provider":"pragmatic play","bets":6545,"observed_return":0.9582103802363284,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.10894723900013469,"ci95":[0.7446737917960644,1.1717469686765924],"max_multiplier":478.96000000000004,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.213536588440264,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.8168067226890756,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"Sweet Bonanza 1000","provider":"pragmatic play","bets":1576,"observed_return":0.31990482233502515,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.026992180587416436,"ci95":[0.26700014838368896,0.37280949628636134],"max_multiplier":28.35,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.05290467395133621,"publishable":false,"withheld":"implausible","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.8978426395939086,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"Sweet Bonanza 1000","provider":"unknown","bets":1491,"observed_return":0.8872710932260228,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.05880916700958869,"ci95":[0.772005125887229,1.0025370605648167],"max_multiplier":39.3845,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.11526596733879384,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.7947686116700201,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"BC.Game","game":"Sweet Bonanza 1000","provider":"pragmatic play","bets":193,"observed_return":0.874649922797156,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.13569121532473946,"ci95":[0.6086951407606667,1.1406047048336454],"max_multiplier":15.95000013247408,"confidence":"low","margin":0.2659547820364893,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.7616580310880829,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Stake.com","game":"Sweet Bonanza 1000","provider":"pragmatic play","bets":177,"observed_return":9.968305084745763,"declared_rtp":0.9653,"gap":9.003005084745762,"std_error":2.88503412008095,"ci95":[4.313638209387101,15.622971960104426],"max_multiplier":309.16,"confidence":"low","margin":5.654666875358663,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-14"},"published_loss_share":0.6214689265536724,"feed_bias":"curated","observed_return_note":"This feed publishes more wins than it publishes losses, proven by an observed return above 100%. Read it as a floor on the operator's curation, not as the game's return.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":"reported","gap":"derived"}},{"casino":"Winna","game":"Sweet Bonanza 1000","provider":"pragmatic play","bets":123,"observed_return":1.7491290243902438,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.20278870719910702,"ci95":[1.351663158279994,2.1465948905004937],"max_multiplier":11.7981,"confidence":"low","margin":0.39746586611024975,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.45528455284552843,"feed_bias":"curated","observed_return_note":"This feed publishes more wins than it publishes losses, proven by an observed return above 100%. Read it as a floor on the operator's curation, not as the game's return.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}}]}