{"window_days":7,"from":"2026-09-14","games_returned":5,"games_withheld_below_min_bets":2,"min_bets":100,"method":{"estimator":"mean payout multiplier, currency independent","interval":"95%, mean plus or minus 1.96 standard errors","source":"each casino's own public bet feed, captured by us","sampling":"the feeds are rolling windows the operators publish; this is a sample of their flow, not the whole of it, and the selection rule is not visible to us","declared_rtp":"only Stake.com publishes a house edge, so declared_rtp and gap are null for other operators","selection_bias":"the feeds are the operators' own marketing surfaces and the selection leans toward winning rounds, so observed_return is UNCORRECTED and biased upward by an unknown amount that differs per operator. feed_bias reports 'curated' where an observed return above 100% proves the feed is incomplete, since no game returns more than it takes over the long run."},"confidence_levels":{"high":">=10000 bets","moderate":">=1000","low":">=100","insufficient":"<100"},"publishable":["low","moderate","high"],"source_kinds":{"observed":"Counted directly from the operator's public feed.","derived":"Computed from observed data through a documented method.","reported":"Published by the operator. We repeat it, we do not verify it.","estimate":"Model output carrying assumptions. Always a range."},"games":[{"casino":"Roobet","game":"The Luxe","provider":"hacksaw","bets":2574,"observed_return":0.9626658071521076,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.12750728057518296,"ci95":[0.712751537224749,1.2125800770794661],"max_multiplier":181.99999999999997,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.2499142699273586,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.8818958818958819,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"The Luxe H.V.","provider":"unknown","bets":1937,"observed_return":0.9237879710893133,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.06803903929890882,"ci95":[0.790431454063452,1.0571444881151746],"max_multiplier":51.08,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.1333565170258613,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.8946824987093444,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Winna","game":"The Luxe","provider":"hacksaw","bets":833,"observed_return":2.9623842737094837,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.39582208486155385,"ci95":[2.1865729873808384,3.738195560038129],"max_multiplier":178.49999,"confidence":"low","margin":0.7758112863286455,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.6530612244897959,"feed_bias":"curated","observed_return_note":"This feed publishes more wins than it publishes losses, proven by an observed return above 100%. Read it as a floor on the operator's curation, not as the game's return.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"The Luxe","provider":"hacksaw","bets":362,"observed_return":0.10679558011049721,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.033277523482508495,"ci95":[0.04157163408478057,0.17201952613621385],"max_multiplier":8,"confidence":"low","margin":0.06522394602571664,"publishable":false,"withheld":"implausible","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-15","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.9723756906077348,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"BC.Game","game":"The Luxe H.V.","provider":"hacksaw","bets":230,"observed_return":0.4737383393562463,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.1260013164917674,"ci95":[0.2267757590323822,0.7207009196801104],"max_multiplier":23.620000013437174,"confidence":"low","margin":0.24696258032386412,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.8826086956521739,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}}]}