{"window_days":7,"from":"2026-09-14","games_returned":3,"games_withheld_below_min_bets":3,"min_bets":100,"method":{"estimator":"mean payout multiplier, currency independent","interval":"95%, mean plus or minus 1.96 standard errors","source":"each casino's own public bet feed, captured by us","sampling":"the feeds are rolling windows the operators publish; this is a sample of their flow, not the whole of it, and the selection rule is not visible to us","declared_rtp":"only Stake.com publishes a house edge, so declared_rtp and gap are null for other operators","selection_bias":"the feeds are the operators' own marketing surfaces and the selection leans toward winning rounds, so observed_return is UNCORRECTED and biased upward by an unknown amount that differs per operator. feed_bias reports 'curated' where an observed return above 100% proves the feed is incomplete, since no game returns more than it takes over the long run."},"confidence_levels":{"high":">=10000 bets","moderate":">=1000","low":">=100","insufficient":"<100"},"publishable":["low","moderate","high"],"source_kinds":{"observed":"Counted directly from the operator's public feed.","derived":"Computed from observed data through a documented method.","reported":"Published by the operator. We repeat it, we do not verify it.","estimate":"Model output carrying assumptions. Always a range."},"games":[{"casino":"Roobet","game":"Tres Pinatas Hold & Win","provider":"hacksaw","bets":2176,"observed_return":0.9388645502872461,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.09806404097341384,"ci95":[0.746659029979355,1.1310700705951373],"max_multiplier":95,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.19220552030789112,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.8138786764705882,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"Tres Pinatas Hold & Win","provider":"hacksaw","bets":342,"observed_return":0.3619298245614035,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.05267457034891454,"ci95":[0.258687666677531,0.46517198244527597],"max_multiplier":10,"confidence":"low","margin":0.10324215788387249,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-19"},"published_loss_share":0.8742690058479532,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Winna","game":"Tres Pinatas Hold & Win","provider":"hacksaw","bets":127,"observed_return":2.6033472440944885,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.8357916209304606,"ci95":[0.9651956670707857,4.241498821118191],"max_multiplier":102.5,"confidence":"low","margin":1.6381515770237027,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.5039370078740157,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}}]}