{"window_days":7,"from":"2026-09-05","games_returned":5,"games_withheld_below_min_bets":23,"min_bets":100,"method":{"estimator":"mean payout multiplier, currency independent","interval":"95%, mean plus or minus 1.96 standard errors","source":"each casino's own public bet feed, captured by us","sampling":"the feeds are rolling windows the operators publish; this is a sample of their flow, not the whole of it, and the selection rule is not visible to us","declared_rtp":"only Stake.com publishes a house edge, so declared_rtp and gap are null for other operators","selection_bias":"the feeds are the operators' own marketing surfaces and the selection leans toward winning rounds, so observed_return is UNCORRECTED and biased upward by an unknown amount that differs per operator. feed_bias reports 'curated' where an observed return above 100% proves the feed is incomplete, since no game returns more than it takes over the long run."},"confidence_levels":{"high":">=10000 bets","moderate":">=1000","low":">=100","insufficient":"<100"},"publishable":["low","moderate","high"],"source_kinds":{"observed":"Counted directly from the operator's public feed.","derived":"Computed from observed data through a documented method.","reported":"Published by the operator. We repeat it, we do not verify it.","estimate":"Model output carrying assumptions. Always a range."},"games":[{"casino":"Roobet","game":"Twisted Toys","provider":"engine","bets":11103,"observed_return":0.8991493710250462,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.06580388160148731,"ci95":[0.7701737630861311,1.0281249789639613],"max_multiplier":379.2,"confidence":"high","margin":0.12897560793891513,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-08","to":"2026-09-12"},"published_loss_share":0.9356930559308295,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"BC.Game","game":"Twist","provider":"bc originals","bets":3743,"observed_return":0.9830617152017099,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.05415585566264136,"ci95":[0.8769162381029328,1.089207192300487],"max_multiplier":35,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.10614547709877707,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-05","to":"2026-09-12"},"published_loss_share":0.584557841303767,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Stake.com","game":"Sugar Twist 1000","provider":"pragmatic play","bets":508,"observed_return":14.719685039370079,"declared_rtp":0.98,"gap":13.739685039370078,"std_error":4.866947645335677,"ci95":[5.180467654512151,24.258902424228005],"max_multiplier":2215.55,"confidence":"low","margin":9.539217384857928,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-05","to":"2026-09-12"},"published_loss_share":0.6299212598425197,"feed_bias":"curated","observed_return_note":"This feed publishes more wins than it publishes losses, proven by an observed return above 100%. Read it as a floor on the operator's curation, not as the game's return.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":"reported","gap":"derived"}},{"casino":"Roobet","game":"Twisted Lab","provider":"hacksaw","bets":287,"observed_return":0.6576063737337098,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.28119762607873844,"ci95":[0.10645902661938245,1.208753720848037],"max_multiplier":75.7,"confidence":"low","margin":0.5511473471143273,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-05","to":"2026-09-12"},"published_loss_share":0.9059233449477352,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"BC.Game","game":"Twist","provider":"inout","bets":158,"observed_return":0.8386782165180574,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.19213866027473583,"ci95":[0.4620864423795752,1.2152699906565396],"max_multiplier":16.450000484880015,"confidence":"low","margin":0.3765917741384822,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-05","to":"2026-09-12"},"published_loss_share":0.8037974683544303,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}}]}