{"window_days":7,"from":"2026-09-14","games_returned":15,"games_withheld_below_min_bets":36,"min_bets":100,"method":{"estimator":"mean payout multiplier, currency independent","interval":"95%, mean plus or minus 1.96 standard errors","source":"each casino's own public bet feed, captured by us","sampling":"the feeds are rolling windows the operators publish; this is a sample of their flow, not the whole of it, and the selection rule is not visible to us","declared_rtp":"only Stake.com publishes a house edge, so declared_rtp and gap are null for other operators","selection_bias":"the feeds are the operators' own marketing surfaces and the selection leans toward winning rounds, so observed_return is UNCORRECTED and biased upward by an unknown amount that differs per operator. feed_bias reports 'curated' where an observed return above 100% proves the feed is incomplete, since no game returns more than it takes over the long run."},"confidence_levels":{"high":">=10000 bets","moderate":">=1000","low":">=100","insufficient":"<100"},"publishable":["low","moderate","high"],"source_kinds":{"observed":"Counted directly from the operator's public feed.","derived":"Computed from observed data through a documented method.","reported":"Published by the operator. We repeat it, we do not verify it.","estimate":"Model output carrying assumptions. Always a range."},"games":[{"casino":"Winna","game":"Plinko","provider":"internal house games","bets":102778,"observed_return":3.3544036661542354,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.06433841770249338,"ci95":[3.2283003674573485,3.480506964851122],"max_multiplier":2000,"confidence":"high","margin":0.12610329869688702,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.31421121251629724,"feed_bias":"curated","observed_return_note":"This feed publishes more wins than it publishes losses, proven by an observed return above 100%. Read it as a floor on the operator's curation, not as the game's return.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"Plinko","provider":"unknown","bets":30505,"observed_return":1.0740042615964596,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.04610580216518531,"ci95":[0.9836368893526963,1.1643716338402228],"max_multiplier":1000,"confidence":"high","margin":0.0903673722437632,"publishable":false,"withheld":"implausible","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.7249303392886413,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"Plinko","provider":"cloudbet","bets":9579,"observed_return":0.9088436895547709,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.015936533349426525,"ci95":[0.8776080841898949,0.9400792949196469],"max_multiplier":60.00000000000001,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.03123560536487599,"publishable":true,"withheld":null,"diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.7300344503601629,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"Plinko","provider":"gaming corps","bets":4603,"observed_return":0.8153494986361552,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.03034583560072413,"ci95":[0.7558716608587359,0.8748273364135746],"max_multiplier":95.05,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.059477837777419294,"publishable":true,"withheld":null,"diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-15","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.7399522050836411,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"BC.Game","game":"Plinko","provider":"bc originals","bets":3336,"observed_return":0.8614701996555892,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.05297049556703318,"ci95":[0.7576480283442042,0.9652923709669743],"max_multiplier":89,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.10382217131138502,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.7697841726618705,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"Plinko","provider":"hacksaw","bets":3174,"observed_return":0.7468809073724005,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.026034897099178847,"ci95":[0.69585250905801,0.7979093056867911],"max_multiplier":32.00000000000001,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.05102839831439054,"publishable":false,"withheld":"implausible","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.8739760554505356,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"Plinko+","provider":"pragmatic play","bets":1674,"observed_return":0.989563918757467,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.1279667565154844,"ci95":[0.7387490759871176,1.2403787615278163],"max_multiplier":200.70000000000005,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.2508148427703494,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-19"},"published_loss_share":0.7747909199522103,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"Plinko","provider":"spribe","bets":1515,"observed_return":0.886072607260726,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.04620545087425955,"ci95":[0.7955099235471773,0.9766352909742747],"max_multiplier":14,"confidence":"moderate","margin":0.09056268371354871,"publishable":true,"withheld":null,"diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-17","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.8026402640264027,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Stake.com","game":"plinko","provider":"stake","bets":1197,"observed_return":7.409106098579783,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":1.0933128332672077,"ci95":[5.266212945376056,9.55199925178351],"max_multiplier":620,"confidence":"moderate","margin":2.142893153203727,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-14"},"published_loss_share":0.5747702589807853,"feed_bias":"curated","observed_return_note":"This feed publishes more wins than it publishes losses, proven by an observed return above 100%. Read it as a floor on the operator's curation, not as the game's return.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"Plinko 2","provider":"bgaming","bets":583,"observed_return":0.9413379073756432,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.1200685341390622,"ci95":[0.7060035804630813,1.176672234288205],"max_multiplier":30,"confidence":"low","margin":0.2353343269125619,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-17","to":"2026-09-19"},"published_loss_share":0.7392795883361921,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Shuffle","game":"Plinko 2 Halloween","provider":"unknown","bets":361,"observed_return":0.9049839511058317,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.06587134997929121,"ci95":[0.7758761051464209,1.0340917970652426],"max_multiplier":12.300000000000026,"confidence":"low","margin":0.12910784595941077,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.7257617728531855,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Cloudbet","game":"Plinkoman","provider":"galaxsys","bets":356,"observed_return":0.6814606741573026,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.09208847321538272,"ci95":[0.5009672666551525,0.8619540816594528],"max_multiplier":26.8,"confidence":"low","margin":0.18049340750215012,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-17","to":"2026-09-20"},"published_loss_share":0.8230337078651685,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"BC.Game","game":"Plinkoman","provider":"galaxsys","bets":157,"observed_return":0.8713375735744994,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.06281592686179105,"ci95":[0.748218356925389,0.9944567902236098],"max_multiplier":6.800000402000027,"confidence":"low","margin":0.12311921664911045,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.5477707006369427,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Roobet","game":"Pine Of Plinko 2","provider":"relax gaming","bets":156,"observed_return":0.10141721428271337,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.028643651308202976,"ci95":[0.04527565771863554,0.1575587708467912],"max_multiplier":2.9999999999999996,"confidence":"low","margin":0.056141556564077835,"publishable":false,"withheld":"implausible","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.967948717948718,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}},{"casino":"Roobet","game":"Pond Of Plinko","provider":"relax gaming","bets":131,"observed_return":0.8961552397644529,"declared_rtp":null,"gap":null,"std_error":0.5224403833870299,"ci95":[-0.12782791167412577,1.9201383912030314],"max_multiplier":50,"confidence":"low","margin":1.0239831514385787,"publishable":false,"withheld":"imprecise","diverges_from_declared":null,"window":{"from":"2026-09-14","to":"2026-09-21"},"published_loss_share":0.9389312977099237,"feed_bias":"unknown","observed_return_note":"Uncorrected for feed selection. The operator chooses which rounds to publish.","source":{"bets":"observed","observed_return":"derived","declared_rtp":null,"gap":null}}]}